Amanda Lemos vs Mackenzie Dern Pick, 2/17/2024 Predictions UFC 298 Odds
Saturday, February 17, 2024
Amanda Lemos will take on Mackenzie Dern at UFC 298 on Saturday, February 17, 2024. The opening line has Lemos coming in at -130 while Dern is priced at +110.
Amanda Lemos comes into this bout holding a record of 13-3-1. The 36-year-old steps on the scale at 115 lbs and stands 5'4". The southpaw fighter reaches 65". Mackenzie Dern stands 5'4" and steps on the scale at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a record of 13-4-0. The 30-year-old extends her reach 63". Regarding significant strikes, Amanda Lemos is landing 3.54 per minute while Mackenzie Dern is connecting on 3.49 significant strikes per minute. Lemos is connecting on 55% of the significant strikes she attempts while Dern is landing 40%. In terms of defending in the cage, Lemos absorbs 4.66 significant strikes per minute and Dern absorbs 4.21. Lemos also defends 42% of the significant strikes her opponents attempt while Dern defends against 51% of the shots thrown.
Concerning wrestling, Amanda Lemos is the more efficient wrestler as she is able to score a takedown 0.82 times per 3 rounds. Lemos is scoring a takedown on 55% of her tries and is defending 55% of all takedown attempts. Dern is getting her opponent to the mat on 14% of her takedown tries and is stopping 40% of all takedowns attempted by her opposition. Regarding going for the sub, Lemos is the less likely of the two fighters to go for the finish by going for 0.8 submissions per 15 min while Dern tries 1.4 submissions per 15 minutes.
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The last time she fought, Amanda Lemos went up against Zhang Weili and was defeated by unanimous decision in round 5. Weili landed 296 of 358 total strikes that she let go in that fight. Lemos finished this fight landing 29 of 68 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Weili landed 163 of 217, which gave her a percentage of 75%. She landed 106 of 150 significant strikes directed at the head. Statistically, Lemos landed 38% of her significant strikes by connecting on 24 of 63. Of those significant strikes, she connected on 19 of 57 pointed at the head. 30% of the significant strikes landed by Weili and 95% of them connected on by Lemos were done at distance.
In the last bout for Mackenzie Dern, she squared up with Jessica Andrade and was defeated by a punch to the head in round 2. Andrade ended up connecting on 81% of the significant strikes she tried at a distance while Dern connected on 95% of the significant strikes she took from distance. Dern ended up landing 42% of her significant strikes attempted by connecting on 49 of 114. She connected on 38 of 100 significant strikes to the head. Andrade landed 53 of 107 significant strikes in that fight. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, she ended up landing 27 of 76 directed at the head. In regard to the strikes she fired off in this contest, Andrade connected on 53 of 107 while Dern ended up landing 50 of 115 of the strikes she threw in total.
Other fights on the card to watch
Another fight to keep an eye on is when Andrea Lee faces off against Miranda Maverick. Lee walks into the cage with a record of 13-8-0. The 35-year-old weighs in at 125 lbs and stands 5'6". The orthodox fighter extends her reach 69". Maverick stands 5'3" and is weighing in at 125 lbs. The southpaw fighter steps into the cage with a mark of 14-5-0. The 26-year-old extends her reach 65". In the grappling category, Andrea Lee is able to score a takedown 1.84 times per 3 rds and Miranda Maverick takes her opponents to the canvas 2.41 times per 3 rounds. Regarding striking, Lee is connecting on 4.91 strikes per minute and is connecting on 47% of the strikes that she throws. On the other side of the cage we have Miranda Maverick, who is landing 46% of the strikes she has attempted and is landing 3.71 per min.
If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Ilia Topuria is set to battle Alexander Volkanovski. Volkanovski steps into the cage with a mark of 26-3-0. The 35-year-old records a weight of 145 lbs and measures 5'6". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 71". Topuria stands in at 5'7" and will fight at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 14-0-0. The 27-year-old has a wingspan of 69". Concerning grappling, Alexander Volkanovski stops 70% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is taking his opponents down on 37% of his tries. Topuria is finishing his takedown tries on 56% of the tries he takes and stops 92% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. With regard to striking, Volkanovski is taking 3.42 strikes/min while he is connecting on 6.19 strikes/min. Topuria, in contrast, absorbs 3.05 strikes per minute and connects on 4.44 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Amanda Lemos (-130)
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