KSI vs. Tommy Fury Picks, Odds & Predictions

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14 October 2023

KSI vs. Tommy Fury Picks, Odds & Predictions

KSI and Tommy Fury return to the ring Saturday in a cruiserweight bout scheduled for six rounds or less in Manchester, England as we make our top KSI vs. Tommy Fury picks based on the best odds.

KSI, the 30-year-old influencer (born Olajide Olatunji) meets Tommy Fury under his own Misfits Boxing banner as part of the outfit’s partnership with DAZN. While some deem his previous boxing bouts exhibitions, KSI enters Saturday’s event with an official record of 4-0 and one no-contest. The UK native has faced crossover boxers, fellow influencers, and an unheralded Luis Alcaraz Pineda over a still embryonic career in the ring. His most recent bout against Joe Fournier went from a second-round KO to a no-contest due to an accidental elbow strike this past May.

As for the man vying for KSI’s Misfits Boxing cruiserweight crown, Fury competes in his native Manchester with a spotless record of 9-0. The 24-year-old — half-brother of heavyweight luminary Tyson Fury — has primarily shared the ring with unheralded competition and won a few crossover bouts of his own. He outpointed MMA fighter Anthony Taylor in 2021 and recently earned a split decision over internet celebrity Jake Paul last February.

In the Prime event’s cruiserweight co-headliner, Paul’s influencer brother Logan aims to settle a long-brewing grudge with jiu-jitsu practitioner and Bellator veteran Dillon Danis.

Here are our best KSI vs. Fury picks for Saturday (odds via our best sports betting apps; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

KSI vs. Tommy Fury moneyline odds

Many of our best sports betting sites like DraftKings and Caesars have shunned this crossover boxing match (understandably so), although FanDuel, BetMGM, and bet365 all have Fury as the sizable favorite of Saturday’s headlining pair, presumably due to his edge in reps and technical boxing savvy. FanDuel leads the pack on a Fury win at -320, so there isn’t much value in a straight-up bet on the favorite, but winning method and round props are far more interesting.

BetMGM is offering a Fury victory by decision at +187, while FanDuel has he and KSI going Over 4.5 rounds at a respectable -154.

KSI vs. Tommy Fury total rounds

While most of KSI’s bouts have ended within the distance, Fury has gone to the judges in five of his nine career victories, including his recent eight-round tilt against Paul. With KSI likely to claim the center and start swinging wild from the opening bell, Fury should submit a measured, methodical showing akin to his win over Paul, meaning the judges will likely get involved after six rounds.

It’s with this in mind that I lean toward the Over on this matchup, with FanDuel offering the best value at -154 on Over 4.5 rounds.

KSI vs. Tommy Fury pick

Fury by decision (+187 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐

Comparing these two based on strength of schedule is a fool’s errand, as both KSI and Fury meet with can-crusher resumes. That said, Fury is unquestionably the superior technician of the pair, and his sound fundamentals - comparatively speaking - should be enough to expose KSI’s varied, glaring flaws, several of which he has in common with Paul.

While undeniably athletic, KSI looks the part of a dabbler in the ring, often chucking one wild overhand right at a time and neglecting to tuck his chin. Furthermore, the influencer has yet to learn how to find his range behind the jab, with most of his punches either short of full extension or not at all. Fury, by comparison, is no worldbeater, but he’s far more active with the jab - often doubling and tripling up on it against Paul - can throw in combination, and isn’t averse to working from the outside. The younger Fury also boasts a four-inch edge in reach, and I like his chances of keeping a raw KSI on the end of his punches throughout the contest.

As KSI aims for another swift start and slings haymakers, Fury should easily prove he’s the real boxer, stick KSI with the jab early and often, remain wary of his foe’s raw power, and punch in bunches in a replica of his performance against Paul. Fury isn’t always one to fight with urgency, nor is he a purebred puncher, so expect this one to go to the scorecards.

If you’re looking to up your payout, you’ll find a unanimous verdict for Fury instead of a straight-up decision at a solid +260 with bet365.

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