Lightning vs Maple Leafs Game 2 picks and predictions: Toronto holds serve in home victory

Toronto Maple Leafs won the first game of the series against the Tampa Bay Lightning. Tampa haven't lost back-to-back games in the postseason in two years.

The Leafs are short moneyline favorites and have since moved to -130. The total opened at 6.5 and has hit 6,0 at a handful of books. Toronto closed as -120 home favorites with a total of 6:5 in Game 1’s 5-0 shutout win.

Predictions made on 5/4/2022 at 9:00 a.m. ET. Click on each prediction to jump to the full analysis.

Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Game 2 is on tonight. Toronto holds serve in home victory.

Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Game 2 is on at 7 p.m. ET.

Kyle Clifford is out for the Maple Leafs. Rasmus Sandin is doubtful and Petr Mrazek is injured.

Toronto holds serve in Game 2 and wins 6-6.

Leafs are 17-4 SU in their last 21 games as -150 favorites or shorter this season.

Lightning vs Maple Leafs is a game between Toronto and Tampa.

Toronto won the first game of the series against Tampa Bay. The Lightning were outplayed and outshot in the game. Sheldon Keefe's team has elite speed upfront. The books have warmed up to the Leafs. They are -130 moneyline favorites. Tampa is 14-0 straight up after a loss in a playoff series in last two seasons. Vasilevskiy has a 2.59 GAA and a .941 SV%. He has played in eight playoff games dating back to last season. He is also a good goalkeeper. Michael Bunting is trending towards playing tonight. His addition would reunite the top line and make the middle-six group stronger.

Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Game 2 picks and predictions: Toronto holds serve and wins at home.

The total is 6.0. Tampa will score but it will be hard to break Toronto's defense. The game will see a lot of penalties. The last change worked well for the Toronto team in Game 1. It's the lowest total of the last four meetings. Vasilevskiy has played 205 of his team’s 257 games over the past three seasons. He has a 2.95 GAA and is 8-3 to the Over across his last 11 starts. Toronto has more depth and speed on the wings. They can score at any moment. There will probably be a high number of penalty shots. This is the least of these games in the playoffs so far.

Toronto holds serve in Game 2 and beats Lightning over 6.

William Nylander is driving the offense on the third line and saw time with John Tavares on second unit on Monday. He's also on PP1 and will see plenty of time on power play. The Leafs are averaging 36.75 shots per game versus the Lightning over the last four meetings.

Lightning vs Maple Leafs Game 2 is on tonight. Toronto holds serve in home victory. William Nylander is the favourite to score.