Lightning vs Maple Leafs Pick

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Toronto Maple Leafs (47-21-11) vs. Tampa Bay Lightning (45-29-6)
April 11, 2023 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Tampa Bay Lightning -137 / Toronto Maple Leafs +111; Over/Under: +6.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Toronto Maple Leafs and Tampa Bay Lightning meet Tuesday in NHL action at the Amalie Arena. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.

The Toronto Maple Leafs are averaging 3.4 goals per game and are scoring on 25.3 percent of their power play opportunities. Auston Matthews leads Toronto with 39 goals, Mitchell Marner has 68 assists and William Nylander has 279 shots on goal. Defensively, the Toronto Maple Leafs are allowing 2.7 goals per game and are killing 80.7 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Matt Murray has given up 74 goals on 761 shots faced, and Ilya Samsonov has allowed 95 goals on 1,138 shots.

The Tampa Bay Lightning are averaging 3.4 goals per game and are scoring on 25.1 percent of their power play opportunities. Brayden Point leads Tampa Bay with 49 goals, Nikita Kucherov has 80 assists and Steven Stamkos has 234 shots on goal. Defensively, the Tampa Bay Lightning are allowing 3 goals per game and are killing 79.9 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Andrei Vasilevskiy has given up 155 goals on 1,851 shots faced, and Brian Elliott has allowed 75 goals on 657 shots.

The Maple Leafs are 40-19 in their last 59 Tuesday games. The Lightning are 41-16 in their last 57 home games and 3-7 in their last 10 overall. The under is 5-2 in Maple Leafs last 7 overall. The under is 4-1 in Lightning last 5 Tuesday games. The Maple Leafs are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Tampa Bay. The avorite is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. The home team is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.

The Toronto Maple Leafs are on the end of a back to back, but them in the underdog role regardless is hard to turn down. The Maple Leafs are a good hockey team that’s actually been better than the Lightning this season. Also, let’s not act like the Lightning have lit the world on fire these last couple of weeks. Give me the road dog.