Maple Leafs vs Canadiens Pick

Montreal Canadiens (23-28-4) vs. Toronto Maple Leafs (33-14-8)
February 18, 2023 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Toronto Maple Leafs -431 / Montreal Canadiens +350; Over/Under: +6
(Get latest betting odds)

The Montreal Canadiens and Toronto Maple Leafs meet Saturday in NHL action at the Scotiabank Arena. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.

The Montreal Canadiens Betting Preview

The Montreal Canadiens are averaging 2.7 goals per game and are scoring on 16.9 percent of their power play opportunities. Cole Caufield leads Montreal with 26 goals, Nick Suzuki has 25 assists and Josh Anderson has 124 shots on goal. Defensively, the Montreal Canadiens are allowing 3.6 goals per game and are killing 73.8 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Jake Allen has given up 106 goals on 1,006 shots faced, and Sam Montembeault has allowed 78 goals on 829 shots.

The Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs are averaging 3.4 goals per game and are scoring on 25.4 percent of their power play opportunities. William Nylander leads Toronto with 30 goals, Mitchell Marner has 46 assists and Auston Matthews has 203 shots on goal. Defensively, the Toronto Maple Leafs are allowing 2.7 goals per game and are killing 80.2 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Matt Murray has given up 50 goals on 561 shots faced, and Ilya Samsonov has allowed 61 goals on 741 shots.

Canadiens vs Maple Leafs Trends 

The Canadiens are 20-50 in their last 70 road games and 46-96 in their last 142 overall. The Maple Leafs are 52-20 in their last 72 home games and 5-2 in their last 7 games playing on 2 days rest. The over is 4-1 in Canadiens last 5 overall. The over is 4-1-1 in Maple Leafs last 6 overall. The Canadiens are 5-11 in the last 16 meetings in Toronto and 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. The home team is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings. The underdog is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

Randy’s Free Pick

The Toronto Maple Leafs should win this game, and the line clearly suggests that. There’s a clear gap between these two teams. However, we’re getting 3.5 times our money with the Habs and this is a rivalry game where you can often throw numbers out the window. Also, let’s not act like the Canadiens haven’t won 7 of the last 9 meetings against the Maple Leafs, which includes an overtime win a couple of weeks ago. Give me the massive road dog in terms of the value.