Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Prediction & Picks

Tuesday's playoff slate features the Toronto Maple Leafs hosting the Tampa Bay Lightning for the opening game of the NHL Playoffs First Round, starting at 7:30 PM ET on . The Maple Leafs are the favorite, with -155 moneyline odds, in this matchup with the Lightning, who have +135 moneyline odds.

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Prepare for this NHL Playoffs First Round matchup with a look at who we predict will win the game.

Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Predictions for Tuesday

Our projections model for this contest calls for a final score of Maple Leafs 4, Lightning 2.

• Moneyline Pick: Maple Leafs (-155)
• Computer Predicted Total: 6.3
• Computer Predicted Spread: Maple Leafs (-1.6)

Lightning Splits and Trends

• The Lightning (46-30-6 overall) have posted a record of 8-6-14 in matchups that have gone to OT this season.
• Tampa Bay has earned 22 points (9-7-4) in its 20 games that finished with a one-goal margin.
• This season the Lightning recorded only one goal in 10 games and they've earned two points (1-9-0) in those contests.
• Tampa Bay failed to win all 10 games this season when it scored a pair of goals.
• The Lightning have scored at least three goals 60 times, earning 95 points from those matchups (45-10-5).
• Tampa Bay has scored a lone power-play goal in 35 games this season and has recorded 43 points from those matchups.
• When it outshoots its opponent this season, Tampa Bay has posted a record of 26-13-4 (56 points).
• The Lightning's opponents have had more shots in 37 games. The Lightning went 18-17-2 in those matchups (38 points).

Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Game Time and TV Channel

• When: Tuesday, April 18, 2023 at 7:30 PM ET
• TV Channel:
• Where: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario

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