Lightning vs Red Wings Prediction

pickdawgz.com

14 October 2023

The Tampa Bay Lightning will play the Detroit Red Wings on Saturday night at Little Caesars Arena in Detroit, Michigan. Tampa Bay opened the season with a nice win over Nashville, while Detroit lost a thrilling game against the Devils.

Lightning Preview

The Tampa Bay Lightning are 1-0-0 this year after defeated the Nashville Predators by a score of 5-3 in their first game. Tampa Bay actually trailed 2-1 early in the third period, but they scored four of the next five goals and were able to get the win. The Lightning got goals from Kucherov (2), Paul (2), and Hagel in the win. Tampa Bay out shot Nashville by a total of 34-31 and won 56.7% of the face-offs. The Lightning went 2-5 on the power play and recorded 18 hits in the game. Nicholas Paul led the Lightning with two goals, one assist, and three shots on goal. Jonas Johansson is the projected starting goalie for Tampa Bay, after he stopped 28 out of 31 shots against the Predators.

Red Wings Preview

The Detroit Red Wings are 0-1-0 this season after they lost to the New Jersey Devils by a score of 4-3 in their last game. Detroit led 1-0 in the second period and they were tied at 2 halfway through the third, but they allowed two goals in about three minutes for the loss. The Red Wings got goals form Sprong, DeBrincat, and Fabbri in the game. Detroit out shot New Jersey by a total of 35-27 and won 57.6% of the face-offs in the loss. The Red Wings went 2-4 on the power play and they recored 24 hits in the game. Daniel Sprong led the Red Wings with one goal and two shots on goal in the loss. The projected starting goalie for Detroit is Ville Husso, who stopped 23 out of 26 shots on goal against New Jersey.

Detroit Red Wings Team Facts

The Red Wings have lost each of their last five night games.
The Red Wings have covered the puck line in 10 of their last 11 games as home underdogs against the Lightning.
The Red Wings have lost the third period in each of their last six Saturday games as underdogs.
The 'Over 1.5 Goals Period 1' market has hit in seven of the Red Wings' last eight games at Little Caesars Arena.

Tampa Bay Lightning Team Facts

The Lightning have lost four of their last five games as favorites following a home win.
The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in 10 of their last 11 games at Little Caesars Arena.
The underdogs have won the second period in four of the Lightning's last five games.
The 'Over 1.5 Goals Period 3' market has hit in 14 of the Lightning's last 15 night games against opponents on a losing streak.

Detroit Red Wings Player Prop Facts

Dylan Larkin has scored a goal in five of the Red Wings' last six games against Eastern Conference opponents at Little Caesars Arena.
David Perron has recorded at least one point in each of the Red Wings' last seven night games at Little Caesars Arena.
Alex DeBrincat has recorded an assist in each of his last four home appearances against the Lightning.
Alex DeBrincat ranks T3rd in the league for Power Play Goals (1) this season.

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts

Austin Watson has scored the first goal in three of his last four appearances at Little Caesars Arena.
Brayden Point has scored at least one goal in each of the Lightning's last four games as favorites against the Red Wings.
Brayden Point has recorded at least one point in each of the Lightning's last seven night games at Little Caesars Arena.
Nikita Kucherov has recorded an assist in each of the Lightning's last four games against the Red Wings.
Brayden Point ranks T1st in the league for multi-assist game (1) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

The Detroit Red Wings ranks T1st in the league in short handed goals allowed this season (0).
The Detroit Red Wings ranks T3rd in the league for power play goals this season (2).
The Tampa Bay Lightning ranks T1st in the league for power play goals against this season (1).
The Tampa Bay Lightning ranks T1st in the league in short handed goals allowed this season (0).

Pick

The Red Wings opened up their season with a loss, but they actually played pretty well and had a chance to win. Tampa Bay is missing one of the better goalies in the league, but that didn’t slow them down against Nashville. I do think having Johansson in net is going to catch up to the Lightning, as they don’t have a great defense. Detroit was able to generate quite a few chances and they hit the post a couple of times in their first game, but I like them to get their first win of the season here.