Lions vs. Cowboys: Picks, props and best bets

The Detroit Lions (11-4) have won their division for the first time in 30 years. They head to Dallas to take on the Cowboys (10-5), who have lost consecutive games for the first time in two years. Though both teams have already clinched playoff berths, there is plenty on the line for this game. The Lions can work their way to the No. 1 spot in the NFC over the next two weeks. The Cowboys have a chance at their division title and they’re undefeated at home.

The total set by the top Michigan sportsbooks for this matchup is easily the highest of all Week 17 games.

It has been nothing short of an incredible season to date for the Lions. A win either this week or next (home against Minnesota) would make it the first time Detroit has gone over their preseason win total by at least two games in consecutive seasons since 1999-2000.

Following a stretch where the Lions lost two of three games, Detroit has won their past two, scoring 30 or more points in each. The defense will be key in this one. Dallas has allowed three or more sacks in four straight games. If Aidan Hutchinson and company can get to Dak Prescott, the Lions have a good chance to cover this spread.

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The Cowboys have won a whopping 15 straight games at AT&T Stadium, including 7-0 this year, scoring at least 30 points in each of the seven wins. They will need to adopt a “road warrior” mentality, as they currently have just a 17% chance to host a playoff game, per ESPN.

Prescott has enjoyed success against the Lions in his career. He is 4-0 against Detroit, the most wins against any non-NFC East opponent. Against the Lions, Prescott has completed 68% of his passes and averaged 280 passing yards per game while throwing nine touchdowns to zero interceptions.

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This is one of the highest totals of the entire season, and it is understandable. Each of these teams has a top-five scoring offense and the Lions have played their fair share of shootouts. But the NFL seldom goes according to expectations. Over the past two seasons, totals of 50 or more are 27-12 to the under. With such a high number to reach, the wise move is to take the under.

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The Cowboys are 4-1 this season when Lamb gets 10 or more targets. Lamb has eight touchdowns and an average of 104 receiving yards at home this season against three touchdowns and 87 receiving yards per game in eight road games. With Lamb just three receptions shy of the Cowboys’ single-season reception record, Prescott will surely look his way early and often.

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