NBA

Los Angeles Lakers vs. Denver Nuggets odds, tips and betting trends

Sportsbook Wire

19 May 2023

Los Angeles Lakers vs. Denver Nuggets odds, tips and betting trends

In Game 3 of the Western Conference Finals, the Los Angeles Lakers will face the Denver Nuggets.

The Lakers enter their game against the Nuggets as a 5.5-point favorite. The matchup’s over/under is set at 222.5.

Lakers vs. Nuggets Betting Odds

Spread: Los Angeles -5.5
Total: 222.5
Moneyline: Los Angeles -237, Denver +191

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Nuggets at Lakers odds, spread, & more

Prediction

Pick ATS: Nuggets (+ 5.5)
Pick OU:
Over (222.5)
Prediction: –
Nuggets 116 – Lakers 115

Los Angeles has been victorious in 20, or 64.5%, of the 31 contests it has been chosen as favorites in this season.
This season, Los Angeles has come away with a win 10 times in 12 chances when named as a favorite of at least -237 or shorter on the moneyline.
Los Angeles has an implied victory probability of 70.3% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Denver has gone 10-11 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 47.6% of those games).
When it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +191 or longer, Denver has gone 1-5 (16.7%).
Based on this game’s moneyline, Denver’s implied win probability is 34.4%.

The 117.2 points per game the Lakers record are just 4.7 more points than the Nuggets allow (112.5).
When Los Angeles puts up more than 112.5 points, it is 34-18-1 against the spread and 36-17 overall.
When Denver gives up fewer than 117.2 points, it is 37-18-1 against the spread and 44-12 overall.
The Nuggets average just 0.8 fewer points per game (115.8) than the Lakers give up (116.6).
Denver is 29-10-2 against the spread and 37-4 overall when it scores more than 116.6 points.
Los Angeles has an ATS record of 27-14-1 and a 28-14 record overall when its opponents score fewer than 115.8 points.
The Lakers are the NBA’s sixth-ranked scoring team (117.2 PPG), while the Nuggets rank eighth in points per game allowed (112.5) in the league.
Denver is the NBA’s 12th-ranked offense (115.8 PPG), while Los Angeles is the 20th-ranked defense (116.6).
The Lakers have totaled 47 more points than their opponents this season (0.6 per game on average), and the Nuggets have scored 273 more points than their opponents (3.3 per game).

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The average implied total for Los Angeles this season is 118.8 points, 4.8 more points than its implied total of 114 points in Saturday’s game.
This season, Los Angeles has put up more than 114 points 50 times.
Denver’s average implied point total on the year (118.2 points) is 9.2 points higher than its implied total in this matchup (109 points).

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