Madison Keys vs. Hailey Baptiste odds, tips and betting trends

No. 20-ranked Madison Keys will take on No. 105 Hailey Baptiste in the BNP Paribas Open Round of 64 on Friday, March 8. Compared to the underdog Baptiste (+175), Keys is favored (-230) to advance to the Round of 32.

Keys last competed on October 25, 2023 at the WTA Elite Trophy Women Singles 2023, where she fell to Caroline Garcia (3-6, 6-7) in the round robin.

Baptiste won her last match on Thursday in the Round of 128 over Robin Montgomery 6-2, 4-6, 6-1.

BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Friday at 8:46 AM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

Keys vs. Baptiste match information

• Tournament: The BNP Paribas Open
• Round: Round of 64
• Date: Friday, March 8
• Venue: Indian Wells Tennis Garden
• Location: Indian Wells, California
• Court Surface: Hard

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• Keys has played 37 matches over the past 12 months (across all court types), and 19.5 games per match.
• On hard courts, Keys has played 18 matches over the past year, totaling 18.8 games per match while winning 55.0% of games.
• Over the past 12 months, Keys has won 37.4% of her return games and 76.1% of her service games.
• On hard courts over the past 12 months, Keys has won 77.3% of her service games and 31.9% of her return games.
• Over her last 10 tournaments, Keys has won 77% of her service games and 37.8% of her return games.
• Keys is 211th in break points won on all surfaces over the past year, converting 129 of 286 (45.1%).
• Keys has converted 105 of 232 break points (45.3%) over her last 10 tournaments.

• Baptiste has averaged 20 games per match through her 22 matches played in the past year across all court types, while winning 53.3% of the games.
• Baptiste is averaging 20.5 games per match and 9.2 games per set in 17 matches on hard courts in the past 12 months.
• Baptiste has a 69.9% service game winning percentage and a 31.3% return game winning percentage on all surfaces in the past year.
• Baptiste has 90 wins in 130 service games on hard courts (69.2%), and 44 wins in 133 return games (33.1%).
• Baptiste has won 69.9% of her service games over her last 10 tournaments, and 31.3% of her return games.
• Baptiste’s 42.5% break point win percentage (45-for-106) ranks 307th in the past year.
• Baptiste has converted 42.5% of her break-point opportunities (45 of 106) over her last 10 tournaments.

• Keys and Baptiste have split 1-1 in two matchups. Keys took their last battle on April 5, 2023, winning 6-1, 6-2.
• It’s been even between Keys and Baptiste when it comes to sets, each taking two against the other.
• Keys has beaten Baptiste in 20 of 36 total games between them (55.6%).
• Baptiste and Keys have played two times, averaging 18 games and two sets per match.