Maple Leafs picks and props vs. Kraken Nov. 30: Bet on Toronto to win big

Inside The Star
 
Maple Leafs picks and props vs. Kraken Nov. 30: Bet on Toronto to win big

The Toronto Maple Leafs aim to win another game after downing the Florida Panthers on Tuesday.

The pregame narrative: The Seattle Kraken are in town tonight and they're off to an underwhelming start. Toronto should be able to flex its offensive and defensive muscles in this matchup and is worth backing on a pair of markets.

NHL oddsas of 11:04 a.m. ET on 11/30/2023.

Maple Leafs picks vs. Kraken

Best Bet: Maple Leafs 60-minute moneyline (-113)

This is a game Toronto should win comfortably.

Seattle isn't doing anything well this season. It ranks 28th in team save percentage (.881), per Natural Stat Trick, and 26th in goals against per game (3.48). The team has allowed three-plus goals in 11 of its last 12 games.

The Kraken's offence is thoroughly underachieving, also. They're generating the third-fewest expected goals per game (2.73) and place 26th in goals per contest (2.78).

Toronto certainly hasn't looked like one of the NHL's best teams, but it's better off than Seattle. The squad places 14th in goals per game (3.30) and is generating the sixth-most high-danger chances per 60 (13.95).

The Maple Leafs aren't getting great goaltending, but the situation is improving. They're up to 18th in team save percentage (.897) after spending a decent amount of the year buried inside the league's bottom 10 in the category.

Toronto has a panache for making the easy look difficult, but the team should roll over the Kraken.

Key stat: The Maple Leafs have won three consecutive home games, taking two in regulation.

Quick pick

Maple Leafs -1.5 (+133): For those feeling a little riskier, betting on Toronto to win by two-plus goals isn't such a bad idea.

The Kraken are trying to sort their issues out, but that's resulting in some tough losses along the way. Seattle is tied for the fourth-worst goal differential (-17) in the league this season.

The Maple Leafs haven't won by multiple goals since Nov. 11, but this seems like a good spot to snap that skid.