Maple Leafs vs. Lightning picks and odds: Bet on Toronto to keep rolling

Tampa Bay Lightning host Toronto Maple Leafs on Saturday night.

The last time these teams met, Nick Paul was breaking the hearts of Leafs fans everywhere with a heroic performance in Game 7 of their first-round playoff matchup. Toronto closed out November with five wins in a row.

The Toronto Maple Leafs are second in the Atlantic division. They have won 11 of their last 15 games. Tampa Bay has only six regulation wins in 11 home games, but they have a better home record than Toronto. Toronto has either won in regulation or survived to overtime in 14 of its past 15 matches.

The under is 17-7 in Toronto's games this year. Andrei Vasilevskiy is the presumed starter for Tampa. The team's season-long rate of 2.46 goals allowed per 60 is third in NHL.

The Maple Leafs have a 6-1-3 record in their last 9 games after the first period. The team has only trailed once at the end of the opening period in that span.