Maple Leafs vs Bruins Prediction, Odds and ATS Pick
Just a few days after going into Toronto and holding the high-scoring Maple Leafs to one goal, the Boston Bruins look to return the favor on home ice. The Bruins are favored at -140, according to the NHL odds.
Boston has won six games in a row against Toronto, including the first three meetings this season. Four of those wins came by one goal. The Bruins have won five of their last six home games against their division rivals. Three of the last four meetings went under the total.
The NHL betting lines list the Maple Leafs at -215 in the odds to cover against the puck line as a 1½-goal underdog with the rival Bruins at +180 to take care of business as the 1½-goal favorite.
Keep on reading for more on the matchup between the Maple Leafs and the Bruins, teams that would meet in the first round if the Stanley Cup playoffs began today.
Maple Leafs vs Bruins Game Information
1. Game: Maple Leafs (36-18-8) vs Bruins 36-13-15
2. Date/Time: March. 7, 7 p.m. ET
3. Location: TD Garden, Boston
4. Maple Leafs vs Bruins Live Stream:NHL.com
The seven regulation losses at home by the Bruins are the fewest among Eastern Conference teams. The Bruins are 18-7-5 as the home favorite this season. They have covered in just 13 of those games.
Toronto is 4-2 outright and against the puck line as a road underdog. Toronto is tied with Boston for the NHL lead with just six regulation losses on the road. Toronto is coming off a win over Buffalo with Auston Matthews’ 54th goal of the season in overtime lifting the Maple Leafs past the Sabres.
Boston is priced at -140 to win the game outright while the Maple Leafs are +120 on the moneyline according to our NHL betting lines.
The Maple Leafs and Bruins meet on Thursday at TD Garden in Boston. You can watch the game on NESN, TSN4 or ESPN+.
Maple Leafs vs Bruins Odds and Spreads
Maple Leafs vs Bruins Betting Trends
1. Boston is 30-23-11 when listed as the betting favorite.
2. Toronto is 12-18 against the spread on the road.
3. Eighteen of Boston’s 32 games at home have landed under the total.
4. Eight of the Bruins’ last 11 games went under the total.
5. The total went under in four of Toronto’s last five games against Atlantic Division teams.
6. Thirteen of the last 20 games for the Maple Leafs against Eastern Conference teams went over the total.
7. The total has finished under in five of Boston’s last five matchups against Eastern Conference teams.
8. Boston has won six of its last seven games versus Atlantic Division teams.
Maple Leafs vs Bruins Over/Under Pick: Over 6
Even with two of the last three games heading to overtime, Toronto has scored only six goals in the last three games. The Maple Leafs managed just 27 shots in an overtime win over Buffalo. That is something to consider for NHL over/under predictions
Is this the game when the Maple Leafs start to resemble the team that leads the Eastern Conference with 227 goals?
Since the start of February, the Maple Leafs are second in the NHL with an average of four goals per game while converting on 39% on the power play, the best mark in the NHL.
After scoring just once when the teams met earlier this week, look for Toronto’s offense to be a little more productive in this matchup.
Maple Leafs vs Bruins ATS Pick: Maple Leafs +1½
Toronto is 5-3 when playing in the second game of a back-to-back with the Maple Leafs scoring at least five goals in three of those matchups.
The bigger number to consider could be Boston’s NHL-leading 15 overtime losses. Four of the last six home games played by the Bruins went into overtime so that is enough to go with the Maple Leafs to cover against the puck line. Perhaps this is the night when the Maple Leafs finally get the upper hand on the team they could be meeting up with in the Stanley Cup playoffs.
Toronto has won six of its last seven games. That is something to consider for those thinking about taking the Maple Leafs at +120 to win the game outright.
Forward David Kampf is questionable for the Maple Leafs. Defenseman Conor Timmins could be nearing a return.
The Bruins continue to play without standout defenseman Hampus Lindholm.
Maple Leafs vs Bruins Player Prop Pick: Morgan Geekie 1+ Points (+125)
Over the last 15 games, Geekie leads the Bruins with six goals with one of them coming in the most recent matchup against Toronto. The props for many of the star players in this game are not that enticing, so it could be worth rolling with an under-the-radar option when it comes to the NHL hockey bets today.
Maple Leafs vs Bruins Prediction
Questions Of The Day
How have the Maple Leafs fared in recent road games against the Boston Bruins?
The Maple Leafs have won just one of the last six road games against Boston and have been outscored 22-15 in those games.
What is a good player prop option for the Toronto Maple Leafs?
Playing alongside Auston Matthews, the NHL’s leading goal scorer, gives Matthew Knies plenty of room to operate. He could be a solid option at +144 to have at least one point in this game.
