Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings picks and odds: Bet on Red Wings to keep it close

The Toronto Maple Leafs are on a four-game road trip. They play the Detroit Red Wings on Monday.

Maple Leafs are on a three-game winning streak. Detroit has won four in a row.

Detroit and Toronto are playing similar hockey. The Red Wings rank 23rd in high-danger chances per 60 and 22nd in chances against per60. Toronto is 11th in HDCA/60 and has surrendered 11.35 HD CA/ 60. Both teams are getting excellent play between the pipes. Detroit is 7-2-1 at Little Caesars Arena this season.

Red Wings moneyline is +132. Toronto has won three straight games, but most of them were tight. Detroit owns a plus-12 goal differential during its four-game winning streak.

Both teams rank in the top half of the league in HDCA/60 and save percentage over the last two weeks. Under 6 goals is a profitable play for Maple Leafs. Red Wings are 50% to the under this year.