Marlins vs. Mets odds, tips and betting trends

Sportsbook Wire

20 September 2023

Marlins vs. Mets odds, tips and betting trends

On Wednesday, the New York Mets (70-81) are visiting the Miami Marlins (79-73), at 6:40 PM ET, in the final game of a three-game set.

The favored Marlins (-119 on the moneyline) play at home against the Mets (+100). The Miami Marlins will give the start to Eury Perez (5-5, 3.06 ERA), who is looking for win No. 6 on the season, and the Mets will counter with Kodai Senga (11-7, 2.95 ERA).

Yesterday, the Marlins picked up a 4-3 victory over the Mets, with Tanner Scott (1.0 IP, 2 R, 3 H, 0 K) earning the win for the Marlins. Jorge Soler went 1-for-2 with a double to lead the offense. Trevor Gott (0.2 IP, 1 R, 1 H, 0 K) picked up the loss for the Mets.

Prepare for the Marlins vs. Mets with everything you need to know before Wednesday’s baseball action, including viewing options.

Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets Odds and Betting Lines

Tipico Sportsbook. Odds updated Wednesday at 9:16 AM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

Favorite: Marlins (-119, bet $119 to win $100)
Underdog: Mets (+100, bet $100 to win $100)
Over/under: 7

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Marlins Stats and Trends

Marlins Betting Records

The Marlins have been favorites in 70 games this season and won 41 (58.6%) of those contests.
Miami has a record of 37-20, a 64.9% win rate, when favored by -119 or more by oddsmakers this season.
The moneyline for this contest implies a 54.3% chance of a victory for the Marlins.
So far this season, Miami and its opponents have hit the over in 69 of 151 games with a total.
The Marlins are 69-82-0 against the spread this season.

Eury Pérez (Marlins Probable Starter)

The Marlins are sending Perez (5-5) to the mound for his 19th start of the season. He is 5-5 with a 3.06 ERA and 106 strikeouts through 88 1/3 innings pitched.
In his last outing on Thursday against the Milwaukee Brewers, the right-hander went 4 2/3 innings, giving up three earned runs while surrendering five hits.
In 18 games this season, the 20-year-old has amassed an ERA of 3.06, with 10.8 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .209 against him.
Perez has registered six quality starts this season.
Perez heads into the game with 11 outings of five or more innings pitched this campaign.
In seven of his 18 total appearances this season he has not allowed an earned run.
The opposing Mets offense has a collective .239 batting average, and is 26th in the league with 1196 total hits and 20th in MLB play with 664 runs scored. It has the 18th-ranked slugging percentage (.406) and ranks 12th in home runs (197) in all of MLB.

Marlins Batting Stats

The Marlins have hit 157 homers this season, which ranks 23rd in the league.
Hitters for Miami have combined for a team rank of 19th in the majors with a .405 team slugging percentage.
The Marlins’ .258 batting average is among the best in baseball, ranking fifth in MLB.
Miami ranks 23rd in the majors with 634 total runs scored this season.
The Marlins have the 21st-ranked on-base percentage in MLB this season (.315).
Miami ranks sixth in MLB in strikeouts per game with an average of 7.9 whiffs per contest.

Mets Stats and Trends

Mets Betting Records

The Mets have come away with 20 wins in the 62 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
This season, New York has been victorious 10 times in 44 chances when named as an underdog of at least +100 or worse on the moneyline.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mets have a 50% chance of walking away with the win.
New York and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 60 of its 149 opportunities.
The Mets have an against the spread record of 69-80-0 in 149 games with a line this season.

Kodai Senga (Mets Probable Starter)

Senga (11-7 with a 2.95 ERA and 191 strikeouts in 155 1/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Mets, his 28th of the season.
The right-hander last pitched on Thursday against the Arizona Diamondbacks, when he went six scoreless innings while giving up two hits.
The 30-year-old has an ERA of 2.95, with 11.1 strikeouts per nine innings in 27 games this season. Opponents have a .205 batting average against him.
Senga is aiming to notch his eighth quality start in a row in this game.
Senga will try to last five or more innings for his 10th straight appearance. He’s averaging 5.7 innings per outing.
In four of his appearances this season he did not give up an earned run.
He will face a Marlins offense that ranks 23rd in the league with 634 total runs scored while batting .258 as a unit. His opponent has a collective .405 slugging percentage (19th in MLB action) and has hit a total of 157 home runs (23rd in the league).
Head-to-head against the Marlins this season, Senga has pitched 11 1/3 innings, giving up two earned runs on six hits while striking out 14.
Among qualifying pitchers in MLB action this season, the 30-year-old ranks fourth in ERA (2.95), 25th in WHIP (1.210), and fifth in K/9 (11.1).