Mavericks vs Spurs Picks, Predictions & Odds Tonight

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19 March 2024

Mavericks vs Spurs Picks, Predictions & Odds Tonight

Kyrie Irving has been many things in his career — for better or worse — but the one constant is his ability to elevate his game when called upon the most. Our NBA picks expect Irving to thrive as a distributor vs. a mediocre Spurs defense.

Kyrie Irving might have to look into opening a Leftorium after how good that last game winner was. Next up for Irving and the Dallas Mavericks, is a matchup with Victor Wembanyama and the San Antonio Spurs.

The Mavs have been money lately, covering the spread in six straight games but the NBA odds have them as nearly double-digit road favorites on Tuesday night. Is that too many points for Irving and his left hand?

I break down this Southwest Division matchup and bring you the best bet in my NBA picks and predictions for Mavericks vs. Spurs on Tuesday, March 19.

Mavericks vs Spurs odds

Mavericks vs Spurs predictions

The Dallas Mavericks have been a team of streaks this season with lots of highs and lows and right now, they’re on a high.

The Mavs have won five of their last six straight up, and are 6-0 against the spread in those matchups. That includes Kyrie Irving’s improbable 20-foot left-handed hook shot to take down the reigning NBA champion Denver Nuggets 107-105 as 1-point home pups this past Sunday.

Dallas can be hard to stop when Irving and Luka Doncic are cooking at the same time. Luka has been cooking all season long while Irving is putting up 25.8 points on 40.5% shooting from 3-point range and adding 5.3 rebounds and 5.0 assists per game over his last 15 contests.

Recently, we’ve seen Irving get back to his playmaking roots racking up 31 assists over his last three games. I like him to keep that going tonight against the San Antonio Spurs.

Despite having a shot-altering cheat code in Victor Wembanyama the San Antonio Spurs still rank 23rd in defensive rating and 26th in opponent effective field goal percentage. One way to circumvent Wemby’s shot-altering prowess is with the extra pass. The Spurs rank 21st in the NBA in opponent assists per possession this season.

Irving has dished out nine or more dimes in three straight games and handed out seven assists when these teams last met back on Feb. 14. Now, Irving’s assist prop is sitting at 4.5 and juiced way to the Over so let's take his alt assists at 6+ at solid plus money.

My best bet: Kyrie Irving 6+ assists (+125 at FanDuel)

Mavericks vs Spurs same-game parlay

Kyrie Irving 6+ assistsDerrick Jones Jr. Over 7.5 points

Daniel Gafford Over 7.5 rebounds

One of the players who could be the beneficiaries of those assists is Derrick Jones Jr. The former dunk contest champion has started the last six games for the Mavericks and over the last five he is averaging 9.2 points per game. Jones’ point total is sitting at 7.5, a number he’s gone Over in four of the last five games.

A place where the Spurs would be really lost without Victor Wembanyama would be on the glass. The Spurs rank 24th in rebounding rate and 27th in opponent rebounds per game. Daniel Gafford has added another element to this Mavs team. He’s averaging 7.4 rebounds per game since joining Dallas and grabbed 10 vs. the Spurs when these teams last met back on Feb. 14.

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Mavericks vs Spurs spread and Over/Under analysis

The Spurs opened this Southwest Division matchup as 8.5-point home underdogs. The line has moved to Spurs +9.
The Mavericks have covered six consecutive games and have covered all three meetings with the Spurs this season.
The total opened at 232 and has been bet up slightly to 232.5.
Lean Over here. While the Mavs are playing well offensively right now, they rank 28th in defensive rating since coming out of the All-Star break.

Mavericks vs Spurs betting trend to know

The Mavericks have covered the spread in 22 of their last 33 away games at +9.90 units and a 27% ROI. Find more NBA betting trends for Mavericks vs. Spurs.

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