Mavericks vs. Spurs Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets

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Mavericks vs. Spurs Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets

Kyrie Irving and the Dallas Mavericks (34-35) will look to fend off Keldon Johnson’s San Antonio Spurs (18-50) on March 15, 2023. The Mavericks are a 4-point favorite. A point total of 226 has been set for the matchup.

Mavericks vs. Spurs Odds

  • Mavericks odds to win: -179
  • Spurs odds to win: +151
  • Spread: Mavericks (-4)
  • Total: 226

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Game Time and Information

  • When: Wednesday, March 15, 2023 at 8:30 PM ET
  • Where: AT&T Center in San Antonio, Texas
  • TV: KENS and BSSW

Who Will Win Mavericks vs. Spurs?

Mavericks and Spurs Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

When they have played as at least 4-point favorites this season, the Mavericks are 6-24-2 against the spread.

The Spurs are 23-34 against the spread when an underdog by 4 points or more this year.

These teams average a combined 225.8 points per game, 0.2 fewer points than the total of 226 set for this matchup.

Opponents of the two teams average a combined 9.0 more points per game, 235, than this matchup’s over/under of 226 points.

The average over/under the Mavericks have had set in games this season is 0.6 more points than this outing’s point total.

The average point total for San Antonio this season is 8.1 points higher than this game’s over/under.

Dallas is 24-42-3 against the spread this season.

The Spurs are 28-40-0 against the spread this year.

Mavericks Stats & Insights

The Mavericks score 113.5 points per game (18th in the NBA) and give up 113.1 (12th in the league) for a +30 scoring differential overall.

The Mavericks lose the rebound battle by an average of 5.4 boards. They are grabbing 38.6 rebounds per game (30th in the league) compared to their opponents’ 44.0 per outing.

Dallas knocks down 15.1 three-pointers per game (third-most in the league), 4.1 more than its opponents (11.0).

The Mavericks rank seventh in the NBA with 114.1 points scored per 100 possessions, and 19th in the league defensively with 113.4 points conceded per 100 possessions.

The Mavericks have been better offensively at home, where they average 115.1 points per game, compared to road games, where they average 111.8 per game. Defensively, they are better at home, where they give up 111.2 points per game, versus on the road, where they let their opponents to score 115.1 per game.

Spurs Stats & Insights

The Spurs are being outscored by 9.6 points per game, with a -653 scoring differential overall. They put up 112.3 points per game (24th in NBA), and allow 121.9 per contest (30th in league).

San Antonio records 43.3 rebounds per game (16th in league), compared to the 44.3 of its opponents.

The Spurs hit 10.7 three-pointers per game (24th in the league) while shooting 34.4% from deep (24th in NBA). They are making 1.6 fewer threes than their opponents, who drain 12.3 per game at 39.2%.

The Spurs rank 29th in the league averaging 107.2 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 30th, allowing 117.3 points per 100 possessions.

At home, San Antonio averages 113.3 points per game. Away, it scores 111.1.

Mavericks Key Players to Watch

Irving leads active Mavericks’ players in points and assists per game, scoring 27.2 points and distributing 5.6 assists.

Christian Wood’s averages this season are 17.1 points, 7.6 rebounds and 1.6 assists per game.

Tim Hardaway Jr. makes more threes per game than any other (active) member of the Mavericks, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 3.0 per contest.

Irving averages 1.1 steals per game, while Wood has 1.1 blocks per contest.

Spurs Key Players to Watch

Johnson has been among the team’s best in both scoring (21.6 points per game) and rebounding (4.9 rebounds per game) while adding 2.9 assists per contest.

The Spurs have gotten 12.6 points, 6.2 assists and 3.5 rebounds out of Tre Jones this season.

Johnson cashes in on 2.1 treys per game.

The Spurs’ defensive efforts get a boost from Jones (1.3 steals per game) and Keita Bates-Diop (0.3 blocks per game).

  • Pick ATS: Mavericks (- 4)
  • Pick OU:

    Over (226)

  • Prediction:
    Mavericks 119 – Spurs 112