McGregor vs. Chandler Odds: Irishman Opens as Slight Favorite in Battle of TUF Coaches

In a battle between coaches on theupcoming season of "The Ultimate Fighter," former two-division champion ConorMcGregor is set to clash with ex-Bellator kingpin Michael Chandler following TUF 31. Here are our McGregor vs. Chandler UFC odds fromour best sportsbooks.

Oncethe sport’s biggest star, McGregor finds himself at a bit of a crossroads. Theimpossibly brash Irishman has dropped two of his last three bouts, includingconsecutive losses to perennial contender Dustin Poirier, who bested McGregortwice in 2021.

Aformer Bellator lightweight champion, Chandler’s been on a bit of a slide ofhis own. He’s faced only elite competition since making his UFC debutin the early stages of 2021, but Chandler is still 2-3 during that stretch, with his mostrecent loss coming via rear-naked choke to the aforementioned Poirier back atUFC 281 in November.

Withboth men trying to regroup after being fed into the “Diamond” wood chipper,here’s our breakdown of the McGregor vs. Chandler odds (odds via FanDuelSportsbook; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

McGregor vs. Fighter Chandler odds

Since no official date is set for this matchup, it’s not available at every major book yet. There is no clear-cut favorite at this point, with yourbest odds to back McGregor existing at DraftKings (-110), while backers ofChandler can snatch him up at -104 over at FanDuel.

Withso many question marks surrounding this matchup, we’ll unlikely see aviolent swing in odds unless something drastic happens during thefilming of "The Ultimate Fighter."

McGregor vs. Chandler Moneyline

McGregor (-110) vs. Chandler (-104)

As far as the odds are concerned, this one isa bit of a coin flip. Both McGregor and Chandler sport identical -110 lines atDraftKings, with McGregor as short as -115 with CaesarsSportsbook.

That -115 line gives McGregor the largestimplied win probability at 53.49%, which still ultimately makes this fight apick‘em. With margins this thin, it all boils down to who you think is goingto win, as opposed to backing a fighter because the odds are favorable for ahefty payout.

McGregor vs. Chandler early pick

McGregor (-110) ⭐⭐⭐

There are so many unknowns with “Notorious”heading into this bout. Even if a horrific leg injury didn’t prematurely halthis second bout with Poirier, it appeared McGregor was already starting to fadeunder the pressure.

McGregor hasn’t looked truly great since his demolition ofDonald Cerrone, and that was more than three years ago and against a much weaker opponent. The 2020 version ofCerrone wasn’t exactly a litmus test for an elite fighter at 155pounds.

The most recent iteration of Chander is moreof a known commodity at this point. The former Division I wrestler hits like afreight train carrying dynamite, never shies away from a firefight, and rarelyever falls back on his wrestling. I feel like this puzzling fight IQ will behis downfall.

McGregor is the superior technical striker,who lands at a higher volume (5.32 significant strikes per minute to Chandler’s4.89), with higher accuracy (49% compared to Chandler’s 46%). I expect Chandlerto eschew his vaunted wrestling game to sling leather with McGregor,and at some point, the Irishman will viciously crumble an overly aggressiveChandler’s chin.

Of course, all of this could change based on McGregor’s appearanceon "The Ultimate Fighter," but at this point, I have to favor the man fromDublin.

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