Mets Vs Marlins: MLB Betting Lines & Predictions

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Mets Vs Marlins: MLB Betting Lines & Predictions

The New York Mets (3-4) host the Miami Marlins (3-4) to open a three-game series at , with first pitch at 1:10 PM ET on Friday. The Mets are on the back of a series defeat to the Brewers, and the Marlins a series win over the Twins.

The Mets are a home favorite (-157) against the Marlins (+136). The contest has an over/under of 8.

The betting trends in the article below are based off odds valid as of April 6, 2023 at 7:16 PM ET. Ready to bet?

Mets vs Marlins Betting Lines

Mets Betting Insights

  • The Mets have entered the game as favorites four times this season and won twice.
  • New York has not been bigger favorites this season than the -157 moneyline set for this game.
  • The Mets have a 61.1% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • New York and its opponents have hit the over in four of its seven games with a total this season.
  • The Mets are 4-3-0 ATS in their seven games with a spread this season.

Marlins Betting Insights

  • The Marlins have come away with two wins in the five contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This will be the worst odds to win that sportsbooks have placed on Miami this season with a +136 moneyline set for this game.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Marlins have a 42.4% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Miami and its opponents have gone over the total this season in two of its seven opportunities.
  • The Marlins have an against the spread record of 2-5-0 in seven games with a line this season.

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Mets Probable Pitcher – Tylor Megill

  • Megill helped his team cover the spread in his only opportunity this season as a starter.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Saturday, when he threw five innings against the Miami Marlins, giving up two earned runs.
  • This will be Megill’s first game as the moneyline favorite this season.
  • Megill’s team won in his only start this season.
  • The only game started by Megill with a total this season hit the under.

Mets Relief Pitchers

Marlins Probable Pitcher – Edward Cabrera

  • Cabrera will make his first start of the season for the Marlins.
  • The 24-year-old righty has pitched in relief one time this season.
  • Cabrera’s team went 5-5 in games he appeared in when they were the underdog on the moneyline a season ago.
  • When he pitched in a game last season, his team posted a record of 8-6.
  • The games he pitched went over the total set by sportsbooks in six of 14 opportunities last season.

Marlins Relief Pitchers

Mets Hitting Trends

  • The Mets rank 22nd in baseball with five total home runs.
  • New York’s .323 slugging percentage is 27th in baseball.
  • The team has collected eight or more hits three times this season, and has a 2-1 record in those games.
  • New York has a 3-1 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
  • The Mets have gone 2-1 in the three games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
  • New York strikes out 6.0 times per game, the No. 6 mark in baseball.

Marlins Hitting Trends

  • The Marlins are 13th in MLB play with seven total home runs.
  • Miami is 20th in baseball with a .376 slugging percentage.
  • They have won one of the three games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • Miami ranks 30th in runs scored with 15 (2.1 per game).
  • The Marlins’ .280 on-base percentage is 27th in baseball.

Mets vs. Marlins Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Mets (-157)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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