Mets vs. Marlins odds, prediction, line, time: 2023 MLB picks, Friday, April 7 bets from proven model
A day after their schedule home opener was postponed due to rain, the New York Mets will host the Miami Marlins on Friday afternoon. It's been a slow start for the Mets, who are 3-4 and have already dug themselves into a three-game hole in the NL East. Miami has the same record. Tylor Megill (1-0, 3.60 ERA) is on the hill for New York, while Miami will send Edward Cabrera (0-0, 4.50 ERA) to the hill in this battle of righties.
The game is slated to begin at 1:10 p.m. ET from Citi Field in Queens, N.Y. New York is the -195 favorite (risk $195 to win $100) on the money line in the latest Mets vs. Marlins odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total runs scored is 7.5. Before making any Marlins vs. Mets picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It went 331-285 on top-rated MLB money-line picks (+357) over the past two seasons, and it finished the 2022 MLB season on a 20-14 roll. Anybody who has followed it has seen profitable returns.
Now, the model has dialed in on Mets vs. Marlins and revealed its predictions and best bets. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model's MLB picks. Here are the MLB odds and betting trends for Marlins vs. Mets:
- Mets vs. Marlins money line: Mets -195, Marlins +162
- Mets vs. Marlins over/under: 7.5 runs
- Mets vs. Marlins run line: New York -1.5 (+118)
- NYM: Have returned -146 on the money line this season
- MIA: Have returned -140 on the money line this season
- Mets vs. Marlins picks: See picks at SportsLine
Featured Game| New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins
Why you should back the Mets
New York beat Miami three times in a four-game series to open the season, with each of those wins coming by multiple runs. Megill allowed two runs over five innings against the Marlins last Saturday, giving him confidence heading into another meeting with Miami. First baseman Pete Alonso has struggled with consistency at the plate, but he has already hit three home runs and driven in six runs for New York.
Veteran right fielder Starling Marte is batting .280 through his first 25 at-bats, while second baseman Jeff McNeil is tied for the team-lead with seven hits. Shortstop Francisco Lindor racked up three hits in four at-bats against Milwaukee on Wednesday, driving in two runs. The Mets are 12-5 in their last 17 home games against Miami and have won six of their last seven games against NL East opponents.
Why you should back the Marlins
The Mets have been trending in the wrong direction since their opening series against Miami, getting swept by Milwaukee earlier this week. They were outscored 19-0 in the first two games before losing a 7-6 heartbreaker on Wednesday, leaving them in a disappointing spot heading into their home opener. New York held a 6-4 lead in the fifth inning before allowing Milwaukee to tie the game and eventually win on a walk-off home run.
Megill is just 1-1 with a 4.91 ERA in three games (two starts) against Miami during his career. The Marlins have won five of their last seven road games and are coming off back-to-back wins against Minnesota to notch a series victory earlier this week. Second baseman Luis Arraez is batting .458 through his first 24 at-bats, going 9 of 16 in the first four games against the Mets.
How to make Marlins vs. Mets picks
SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the run total, as the simulations have the teams combining for 8.3 runs. It also says one side of the money line has all the value. You can only get the model's pick at SportsLine.
