Miami Heat vs. New York Knicks odds, tips and betting trends

Sportsbook Wire

07 May 2023

Miami Heat vs. New York Knicks odds, tips and betting trends

In Game 4 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs, the Miami Heat will take on the New York Knicks.

The Heat hit the court as 4.5-point favorites against the Knicks. The game’s over/under is set at 206.5.

Heat vs. Knicks Betting Odds

Spread: Miami -4.5
Total: 206.5
Moneyline: Miami -185, New York +156

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Knicks at Heat odds, spread, & more

Prediction

Pick ATS: Knicks (+ 4.5)
Pick OU:
Over (206.5)
Prediction:
Heat 112 – Knicks 111

Miami has been chosen as the favorite in 58 games this year and has walked away with the win 36 times (62.1%) in those games.
This season, Miami has come away with a win 15 times in 25 chances when named as a favorite of at least -185 or better on the moneyline.
Miami has an implied victory probability of 64.9% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

New York has won 48.8% of the games this season it was the underdog on the moneyline (20-21).
New York has a record of 3-8 when playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +156 or longer (27.3%).
Based on this game’s moneyline, New York’s implied win probability is 39.1%.

The Heat put up 109.5 points per game, only 3.6 fewer points than the 113.1 the Knicks allow.
Miami is 13-11-1 against the spread and 19-6 overall when scoring more than 113.1 points.
New York has a 29-2-1 record against the spread and a 30-2 record overall when giving up fewer than 109.5 points.
The Knicks score an average of 116 points per game, 6.2 more points than the 109.8 the Heat allow.
New York has put together a 33-21 ATS record and a 35-19 overall record in games it scores more than 109.8 points.
Miami has an ATS record of 25-33-3 and a 38-23 record overall when its opponents score fewer than 116 points.
The Heat are at the bottom of the NBA’s scoring charts (109.5 PPG), while the Knicks allow the 12th-fewest points per game (113.1) in the league.
New York is the NBA’s 11th-ranked offense (116 PPG), while Miami is the second-ranked defense (109.8).
The Heat have a negative point differential on the season (-26 total points, -0.3 per game), while the Knicks have scored 240 more points than their opponents (2.9 per game).

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The average implied total for Miami this year is 112.4 points, 6.4 more points than its implied total of 106 points in Monday’s game.
This season, Miami has scored more than 106 points in 54 games.
The average implied point total on the season for New York (114.7) is 13.7 more points than the team’s implied total in this matchup (101).

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