New York Knicks vs. Miami Heat odds, tips and betting trends

Sportsbook Wire

23 November 2023

New York Knicks vs. Miami Heat odds, tips and betting trends

The New York Knicks (8-6) welcome in the Miami Heat (10-5) after winning three home games in a row. It tips at 7:30 PM ET on Friday, November 24, 2023.

The Knicks take on the Heat. The Knicks are favored by 3 points against the Heat. The matchup’s over/under is set at 209.5.

Knicks vs. Heat Betting Odds

BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Thursday at 3:38 AM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

Spread: New York -3
Total: 209.5
Moneyline: New York -153, Miami +129

Pick ATS: Knicks (- 3)
Pick OU:
Over (209.5)
Prediction:
Knicks 112 – Heat 105

New York has won seven of the eight contests in which it was the favorite this year.
This year, New York has won four of five games when listed as at least -153 or better on the moneyline.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies New York has a 60.5% chance of walking away with the win.

Miami has a 2-3 record in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 40% of those games).
When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +129 or longer, Miami has gone 1-3 (25%).
Based on this matchup’s moneyline, Miami’s implied win probability is 43.7%.

The Knicks record 110.1 points per game, just two more points than the 108.1 the Heat give up.
When New York totals more than 108.1 points, it is 8-0 against the spread and 8-0 overall.
When it scores more than 105.8 points, Miami is 7-3-1 against the spread and 9-2 overall.
New York has an ATS record of 7-2-1 and a 6-4 record overall when its opponents score fewer than 111.5 points.
The Knicks are at the 24th spot in the NBA’s scoring charts (110.1 PPG), while the Heat allow the sixth-fewest points per game (108.1) in the league.
The 21st-ranked scoring NBA team (111.5 PPG) is Miami, while the New York squad ranks first in the league defensively (105.8 PPG).
The Knicks have put up a total of 61 more points than their opponents this year (an average of 4.3 per game), and the Heat have out-scored opponents by 51 points on the season (3.4 more per game).

The average implied total for New York this year is 113.7 points, 7.7 more points than its implied total of 106 points in Friday’s game.
This season, New York has totaled more than 106 points in a game eight times.
Miami’s average implied point total on the year (112.1 points) is 9.1 points higher than its implied total in this matchup (103 points).