Michigan State vs. Purdue: Preview, odds and best bets

Heading into this matchup, the Spartans are coming off of a devastating 60-57 home loss to the Ohio State Buckeyes, ending with a last-second buzzer-beater by Dale Bonner. With a conference record of 9-8 and an overall season record of 17-11, the Spartans must regroup and come prepared to battle and bounce back against this strong Boilermakers team.

In their previous 10 meetings, Purdue has dominated the series with seven wins, including the last three matchups. With that being said, the Spartans have performed well against the spread ATS, holding a 6-4 record and outplaying their opponent, as the Boilermakers currently stand at 4-5-1 ATS.

Here are the odds for the game from DraftKings Sportsbook:

In their last game, the Boilermakers showcased their stature by defeating the Michigan Wolverines 84-76 on the road. Zach Edey, the 7-foot-4 draft prospect led the scoring charge. He tallied an impressive 35 points while collecting 11 rebounds. Braden Smith also contributed with a double-double, adding 11 points and 11 assists to the team’s victory.

This Purdue team undeniably reigns with terror on the court, hence their No. 2 ranking in college hoops. With a dominant center in the paint and guards who excel at scoring off the dribble, they present a formidable offensive threat. Additionally, Braden Smith leads the team in three-point shooting, with an impressive 41.6% success rate from beyond the arc, all while the team is shooting 47.1% from the field.

Throughout the season, Purdue has amassed 2375 points, while their opponents have only tallied 1962 points in comparison.

Offensively, Purdue is a force to be reckoned with, presenting a tough challenge for any opponent. However, their defensive capabilities don’t match their offensive potency. Despite facing a Michigan team with a record of 5-19, Purdue only managed to secure an eight-point victory over them.

Recently, they had also been awarded a 73-69 loss to the 15-12 Ohio State Buckeyes. Aside from Edey’s imposing presence in the paint, Purdue’s defense appears to be rather mediocre overall.

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For the Spartans to pull off a huge upset, they’ll need to apply intense man-to-man defense. Purdue is likely to push the pace and seek transition scoring opportunities, which could lead to turnovers if pressured into making poor decisions. The Boilermakers currently rank 147th in college basketball, averaging 11 turnovers per game.

For Michigan State to win they must contain and disrupt Zach Edey on both ends of the court. When the seven-footer is on defense, Michigan State should aim to attack him on the pick and roll, hoping to create contact and put him in foul trouble early on. On the offensive end, the Spartans must enforce strong double teams and apply pressure to force turnovers whenever Edey has the ball in the post.

With Michigan State struggling to maintain a winning record this season, this game will serve as the ultimate test for them. The Spartans have demonstrated resilience and consistently kept bettors on the edge of their seats, especially when it comes to spreads. With that being said, the wisest choice here is to take Michigan State and the +9.5 in this matchup.

Even with the Boilermakers being the superior team and outgunning the Spartans in all categories, when it comes to spreads, they show a bit of uncertainty, especially after being handed a surprising loss to a mediocre Ohio State Buckeyes team a few weeks ago.

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