Milwaukee Brewers vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 9-3-23 MLB Picks

The Philadelphia Phillies and Milwaukee Brewers clash Sunday in game 3 of an MLB series at American Family Field. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Phillies look to snap a 3-game losing streak. The Phillies are still first place in the NL wild card race. The Phillies pitching staff is 10th in ERA (3.97), 9th in WHIP (1.24) and 4th in quality starts (61). The Phillies' offense is 9th in runs per game (4.89), 4th in batting average (.262) and 11th in homers (174). Nick Castellanos leads the Phillies with 146 hits and 84 RBI, while Bryson Stott and Trea Turner have combined for 287 hits and 119 RBI. Ranger Suarez gets the ball, and he is 2-6 with a 3.88 ERA and 89 strikeouts this season. Suarez is 0-0 with a 2.31 ERA and 9 strikeouts in his career against the Brewers.

Philadelphia Phillies Team Facts

• The Phillies have lost each of their last seven games as favorites against the Brewers following a loss.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as favorites against the Brewers following a loss.
• The Phillies have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four games as favorites.
• The Phillies have won the first inning in each of their last three games against NL Central opponents.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Phillies' last three games as favorites against NL Central opponents.

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

The Brewers look to stay hot after winning 10 of their last 12 games. The Brewers have a 4.5 game lead in the NL Central. The Brewers pitching staff is 11th in ERA (3.97), 4th in WHIP (1.21) and 6th in quality starts (60). The Brewers' offense is 18th in runs per game (4.40), 26th in batting average (.236) and 22nd in homers (139). Christian Yelich leads the Brewers with 141 hits and 69 RBI, while William Contreras and Willy Adames have combined for 222 hits and 130 RBI. Wade Miley gets the ball, and he is 7-3 with a 3.17 ERA and 60 strikeouts this season. Miley is 3-1 with a 3.55 ERA and 36 strikeouts in his career against the Phillies.

Milwaukee Brewers Team Facts

• The Brewers have won each of their last eight games at American Family Field.
• The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last 10 games as underdogs.
• The Brewers have led after 5 innings in three of their last four games as underdogs against National League opponents.
• The Brewers have lost the first inning in each of their last four games against National League opponents.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Brewers' last six games.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Milwaukee Brewers ranks 1st in the league for opponent batting average this season (.231).
• The Milwaukee Brewers ranks 1st in the league for hits allowed this season (1038).
• The Philadelphia Phillies ranks T4th in the league for triples this season (25).
• The Philadelphia Phillies ranks 5th in the league for batting average this season (.259).

Randy’s Pick

The Brewers are just one of the hottest teams in the league, and I don't think anybody should be looking to step in front of them as long as the price is reasonable. The Phillies are due for a win and Ranger Suarez has been good, but the Brewers are on fire right now and Wade Miley has been even better with his 3.17 ERA and 1.14 WHIP. The Brewers and these pick em prices are hard to turn down given their current form.