St. Louis Cardinals vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction 9-21-23 MLB Picks

The Milwaukee Brewers and St. Louis Cardinals clash Thursday in game 4 of an MLB series at Busch Stadium. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

The Brewers look for a win after winning 7 of their last 10 games. The Brewers have a 7 game lead in the NL Central. The Brewers pitching staff is 3rd in ERA (3.78), 2nd in WHIP (1.18) and 5th in quality starts (67). The Brewers' offense is 18th in runs per game (4.47), 26th in batting average (.239) and 24th in homers (156). Christian Yelich leads the Brewers with 143 hits and 70 RBI, while William Contreras and Willy Adames have combined for 254 hits and 152 RBI. Wade Miley gets the ball, and he is 8-4 with a 3.38 ERA and 70 strikeouts this season. Miley is 3-6 with a 4.11 ERA and 51 strikeouts in his career against the Cardinals.

Milwaukee Brewers Team Facts

The Brewers have won six of their last seven games as underdogs against NL Central opponents following a win.
The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last nine games as road underdogs.
The Brewers have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games as underdogs against National League opponents.
The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Brewers' last seven games as underdogs against National League opponents.
The Brewers have led after 7 innings in three of their last four games as underdogs against National League opponents.

St. Louis Cardinals Betting Preview

The Cardinals look for a win after splitting their last 8 games. The Cardinals have the second-worst record in the NL at 67-85. The Cardinals pitching staff is 25th in ERA (4.79), 27th in WHIP (1.45) and 23rd in quality starts (45). The Cardinals' offense is 17th in runs per game (4.49), 14th in batting average (.251) and 10th in homers (204). Paul Goldschmidt leads the Cardinals with 154 hits and 79 RBI, while Nolan Arenado and Willson Contreras have combined for 262 hits and 160 RBI. Miles Mikolas gets the ball, and he is 7-12 with a 4.84 ERA and 118 strikeouts this season. Mikolas is 8-4 with a 3.69 ERA and 77 strikeouts in his career against the Brewers.

St. Louis Cardinals Team Facts

The Cardinals have won each of their last six day games at Busch Stadium following a loss.
The Cardinals have covered the run line in each of their last six games as favorites against the Brewers following a loss.
The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Cardinals' last four games as home favorites.
The Cardinals have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven Thursday day games against opponents that held a winning record.
The Cardinals have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last five Thursday games as home favorites.

Matchup/League Facts

The St. Louis Cardinals rank T29th in the league for triples this season (11).
The St. Louis Cardinals rank 29th in the league for strikeouts this season (1145).
The Milwaukee Brewers rank 1st in the league for opponent batting average this season (.226).
The Milwaukee Brewers rank 1st in the league for hits allowed this season (1139).

Randy’s Pick

Once again, we're getting a more favorable price with the better team in the Brewers. Make it make sense, folks. The Cardinals have the second-worst record in the NL and have nothing to play for with a little over a week left in the season. Miles Mikolas also hasn't been his normal self this season, with a 4.84 ERA and 1.32 WHIP. Wade Miley has had the better season with a 3.38 ERA and 1.14 WHIP. The Brewers are closing in on a division crown. I'll gladly take the even money.