Milwaukee Bucks vs. Indiana Pacers Betting Preview & Best Bet
Milwaukee Bucks (5-2 SU, 1-6 ATS) vs. Indiana Pacers (5-3 SU, 5-3 ATS)
When: Thursday, November 9th, 7:00 PM (ET)
Where: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, IN, Indianapolis
TV: NBA
Point Spread: Mil -4/Ind +4
Total: 243.5
Money Line: Milwaukee Bucks -179/+146
Notable Injuries
Bucks
- Khris Middleton (Questionable) Injury Management
Pacers
Recent Form
Today’s matchup sees the Bucks seeking to extend their current three-game winning streak, with an overall record standing at 5-2. In away games this season, the Bucks have put together a 1-1 record, whereas they have a 4-1 record when playing at home.
Today’s matchup sees the Pacers seeking to extend their current two-game winning streak, with an overall record standing at 5-3. In their eight games, the Pacers have gone 3-3 against Eastern Conference teams and 2-0 in non-conference action.
The Historicals
Across the previous five head-to-head meetings between the teams, both Milwaukee and Indiana have an ATS record of 2-2-1. The Bucks hold the edge in average point differential at +6 points per game. In these matchups, the teams have put together an over-under mark of 5-0. Combined, they averaged 262 points in these games.
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Analysis
The Bucks’ offense finished with 120 points in their previous game, mirroring their current average of 117.1 points per contest. Damian Lillard was the leading scorer for the Bucks, putting up 34 points. In addition, Bobby Portis contributed 18 points.
Looking at the Bucks defense, they will be looking for a better performance considering they are currently conceding 119.4 points per game (25th).
On two-point field goal attempts, the Bucks’ defensive unit is allowing a field goal percentage of 57.4% and allowing 35.6% from beyond the arc.
Indiana’s offense is coming off a strong performance, scoring 134 points against the Jazz. They had an overall field goal percentage of 51.5% and made 17/20 free throws. Up to this point, the Pacers’ offense has been efficient inside the arc, posting a two-point field goal percentage of 58%. In terms of pace, they are 3rd in the NBA possessions per game (103).
Facing Milwaukee, the Pacers aim for a better defensive performance, given their current average of 121.2 points allowed per game (26th).
In terms of two-point field goal attempts, the Pacers defense has allowed a shooting percentage of 52.2% while allowing 38.6% from downtown.
Betting Trends
- When looking at their past five road matchups, Milwaukee has an ATS record of 0-5 while averaging 111 per game. The team went 1-4 overall in these games.
- When looking at their past five home matchups, Indiana has an ATS record of 3-2 while averaging 121 per game. The team went 2-3 overall in these games.
- In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Pacers have a strong straight-up record of 2-1. In addition, their ATS record was 2-1 in these scenarios.
- In their last three contests as the favorite, Milwaukee has a poor record vs the spread going 0-3. But they still put together a straight-up mark of 3-0.
Joes Pick To Cover The Spread
Even though the Bucks pulled out a win over the Pistons last night, they still aren’t playing like a dominant team. Their defense has taken a clear step back so far, and Giannis and Dame are still trying to figure things out on the offensive end of the floor. Look for Indiana to not only cover but pull out the win tonight.
