MTSU Blue Raiders vs Liberty Flames Prediction, 10/17/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: MTSU Blue Raiders vs Liberty Flames

Date: Tuesday, October 17, 2023

Location: Williams Stadium in Lynchburg, VA

TV: CBSSN

Odds/Point Spread: Flames (-10)

Total/Over-Under: 55

The Liberty Flames (6-0) are welcoming the MTSU Blue Raiders (2-5) at Williams Stadium on Tuesday, October 17, 2023. Liberty opens this game as 10-point favorites. The over/under comes in at 55.

The MTSU Blue Raiders head into this game 2-5 this season. The last time they took the field, the Blue Raiders took on the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs and earned the victory with a final of 31-23. Jaiden Credle was the rushing leader for the Blue Raiders with 13 carries for 65 yds (5.0 yds per attempt). Nicholas Vattiato finished 23/29 with 248 yds passing and 2 touchdowns. He had a quarterback rate of 173.9 and ended the contest with no picks. When it came to the battle of the line of scrimmage, the Blue Raiders conceded 79 yds on 26 tries, which is an average of 3.0 yards per rush allowed. MTSU relinquished 30 pass completions on 47 tries for 340 yards, and a completion rate of 63.8%. Overall, they had 66 plays which gave them 353 yds. The MTSU Blue Raiders ran the football 37 different times and recorded 105 yards, earning them an average of 2.8 yards per attempt.

In terms of scoring, the MTSU Blue Raiders are averaging 22.1 points per outing. As a unit they're holding an average of 121.0 yards via the ground game which has them sitting 107th in college football. The Blue Raiders currently have 2,723 total yards for the season. When it comes to distribution of touchdowns, MTSU has totaled 11 passing touchdowns and 9 touchdowns via the ground. MTSU has accounted for 136 first downs offensively, and they have committed 53 infractions for 459 yards. They have given the ball to the opposition 12 times.

The Blue Raiders sit in 114th in the country when it comes to team defense, giving up 31.9 points per game. They are allowing 3.9 yards per rushing attempt and 135.6 rushing yards per game for the year. During this campaign, they have allowed 949 yards via the ground game in 7 games. In terms of yards through the air, the Blue Raiders are giving up 1,841 yds which puts them in 122nd in Division 1. They are giving up 263.0 yards per contest through the air as well as allowing a completion percentage of 64.6%. Over the course of this season, they are giving up 398.6 yards per contest which puts them 101st in college football. They have surrendered 15 touchdowns through the air and 13 touchdowns via the ground game.

The Flames come into this game with a record of 6-0 for this season. When they last played, the Flames went home victorious with a score of 31-13 against the Jacksonville State Gamecocks. Kaidon Salter (2 TDs) walked away from the game with 177 yds on 12/21 through the air while his QB rating was 159.4. He didn't throw any interceptions and his average yards per attempt was 8.4. Quinton Cooley ran the football 28 times for 163 yards, ending the contest with 5.8 yards per carry for Liberty. The Flames ended up finishing with 422 yds on 76 plays (5.6 yds per play). Liberty ran the football for 4.5 yards per carry, finishing with a total of 245 yards on 55 carries. Liberty relinquished 39 rush attempts for 140 yds (3.6 yards per rush). The Flames pass defense gave up a completion rate of 45.2%, surrendering 184 yards on 14 out of 31 through the air.

The Liberty Flames are averaging 479.0 yards/contest, ranking them 14th in the nation. The Liberty offense has accrued 416 yards of penalties on 40 infractions, which is 56th in D-1 in terms of making mistakes. They have an average of 253.5 yards per game via the rush and have toted the ball for 1,521 yards overall. They have tossed 2 picks while losing 5 fumbles and they have been able to earn 134 1st downs. Concerning their ability to score points, the Flames rank 25th in the country averaging 35.3 points per outing. During the season thus far, the Flames have compiled 1,353 yards via the pass as well as an average of 225.5 passing yards per contest, which ranks 78th in college football.

Liberty has given up a total of 724 yards via the ground game (120.7 yards/game) and 4 touchdowns via the rush for the campaign. They have surrendered 8 touchdowns through the air as well as 194.7 yards/outing, which has them in 28th in the nation. They have 2 fumbles recovered and 13 interceptions for the year. The Flames defense has been on the field for 384 plays, ranking them 24th in the country. The Flames are giving up 17.2 points per contest, which puts them 19th in college football. This year, they have given up 103 points.

Who will win tonight's Blue Raiders/Flames college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Blue Raiders +10

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