New Mexico State Aggies vs Liberty Flames Prediction, 9/9/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New Mexico State Aggies vs Liberty Flames

Date: Saturday, September 9, 2023

Location: Williams Stadium in Lynchburg, VA

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Flames (-12)

Total/Over-Under: 56.5

The Liberty Flames (1-0) will try to defeat the New Mexico State Aggies (1-1) at Williams Stadium on Saturday, September 9, 2023. Liberty opens this matchup as 12-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The total comes in at 56.5.

The New Mexico State Aggies come into this game with a record of 1-1 this year. The last time they stepped onto the field, the Aggies played the Western Illinois Leathernecks and went home with a win by a final score of 58-21. Star Thomas led the offense in rushing for the Aggies with 12 totes for 96 yards (8.0 yds per carry). Diego Pavia finished 16/20 with 317 yds through the air and 2 TDs. He had a QB rating of 246.1 and finished the game with no picks. When it came to the battle of the line of scrimmage, the Aggies gave up 36 yds on 29 attempts, which averages out to 1.2 yards per run allowed. New Mexico State relinquished 16 pass completions on 30 attempts for a total of 215 yards, and a completion percentage of 53.3%. In all, they ran 64 plays for 650 yards. The New Mexico State Aggies ran the rock 42 different times and accrued 270 yards, which came out to an average of 6.4 yards per attempt.

The Aggies have tallied 1,108 yards in total over the course of this year. When it comes to getting in the endzone, New Mexico State has amassed 6 touchdowns via the pass and 6 rushing touchdowns. They have surrendered the ball 3 different times. New Mexico State has accounted for 49 1st downs as an offense, and they have been called for 9 infractions for 115 yards. As a unit they have an average of 240.0 yards in the run game which is 21st in college football. When talking about putting the ball in the endzone, the New Mexico State Aggies have an average of 44.0 points per outing.

The Aggies are sitting in 95th in the country in terms of team defense, conceding 31.0 points per game. Opposing teams are running for an average of 3.5 yards per run and 116.5 yards on the ground per game for the campaign. In total, they have given up 233 yards on the ground through 2 contests. When talking about yards via the pass, the Aggies have conceded 407 yds which ranks them 117th in D-1. They have yielded 203.5 yards per game through the air as well as conceding a completion percentage of 55.3%. During this campaign, they are allowing 320.0 yards/game ranking them 66th in the nation. They have surrendered 2 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 5 touchdowns via the ground game.

The Flames head into this matchup 1-0 this year. For their last game, the Flames got the win with a final of 34-24 when they faced the Bowling Green Falcons. Kaidon Salter (2 touchdowns) finished the contest with 143 yards on 11/20 passing while his QB rating was 148.1. He didn't throw any interceptions and his average yards per attempt was 7.2. Kaidon Salter carried the football 19 times for 82 yards, walking away from the game with 4.3 yds per attempt for Liberty. Liberty rushed for 5.0 yards per carry, finishing the game with 246 yds on 49 attempts. The Flames finished with a total of 389 yards while running 69 plays (5.6 yds per play). The Flames secondary conceded a completion rate of 35.5%, surrendering 137 yards on 11 out of 31 passing. Liberty conceded 31 rush attempts for 191 yards (6.2 yds per carry).

The Liberty Flames maintain an average of 389.0 yards per outing, which has them ranked 70th in the nation. The Liberty offense has compiled 51 yds of penalties on 4 infractions, which is 98th in the country in terms of helping out the opposition. They have given away no interceptions while surrendering 1 fumble and they have recorded 22 1st downs. In relation to how much they score, the Flames currently sit 62nd in Division 1 by tallying 34.0 points per game.

Liberty has surrendered a total of 191 yards rushing and 1 touchdown on the ground on the year. They have given up 1 touchdown from the passing game as well as 137.0 yards per contest, which puts them in 28th in the nation. Their defense has totaled no fumbles recovered and 5 interceptions so far this year. The Flames defense has been on the field for 62 plays, which ranks 46th in college football. The Flames are surrendering 24.0 PPG, which has them ranked 81st in Division 1. This year, they have given up 24 pts.

Who will win tonight's Aggies/Flames college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Aggies +12

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