NBA picks: Timberwolves vs. Warriors prediction, odds, over/under, spread, injury report for Tuesday, Nov. 14

Curry has been ruled out for tonight’s game, and the lines have shifted in a big way. The Timberwolves are now 2.5-point favorites and the total comes in at 217. We’re going with Minnesota as the ATS favorite, and the under on the total.

The Golden State Warriors (6-5) will host the Minnesota Timberwolves (7-2) on Tuesday, November 14 in the group stage of the NBA In-Season Tournament. Tipoff from the Chase Center in San Francisco is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET with the game airing on NBA League Pass.

Stephen Curry is listed as questionable for this game with a knee injury, so that will be something to monitor as we move closer to game time.

According to DraftKings Sportsbook, the Warriors are listed as 2-point favorites with an over/under of 219.5. Golden State is -125 on the moneyline while Minnesota is +105.

Timberwolves vs. Warriors, 10 p.m. ET

Pick ATS: Timberwolves -2.5

The Wolves are playing some fantastic basketball, rattling off six straight wins. That includes a 116-110 victory at Golden State on Sunday in a game that wasn’t as close as the final score indicated. Minnesota ranks first in defensive efficiency this season, Anthony Edwards has taken the next step in his development (28.4 ppg) and Karl-Anthony Towns is getting more comfortable in his role next to Rudy Gobert.

Meanwhile, the Warriors have dropped three straight and they continue to rely heavily on Curry — who sits third in the league at 30.7 points per game — to take over for a chance to win. Unfortunately for Golden State, Curry has been ruled out tonight with knee soreness.

Klay Thompson will need to step up, but he has gotten off to a slow start this season while averaging only 16.1 points per game, substantially lower than his 20+ point average in the last seven years.

The Timberwolves are playing confident basketball, and they are the overall deeper team with a more well-rounded approach on both ends of the court to grab another victory in San Francisco.

Over/Under: Under 217

As mentioned earlier, these teams just met a few nights ago, which could benefit both defenses. The Wolves are ranked first in team defensive efficiency, and Golden State isn’t too far behind at 10th.

The Warriors have finished below 217 total points in four of their last five games, which includes the 116-110 loss to Minnesota on Sunday. Golden State has faced a team ranked in the top ten for defensive efficiency on three separate occasions this season, and each of those games fell under 217 total points. There’s a good chance that trend lives on against the Timberwolves in this In-Season Tournament contest, especially with Curry out of the lineup for Golden State.