NBA Player Props Today: Best Bets & Predictions for Monday (3/11)
What kind of performances can we expect on Monday from RJ Barrett, Miles Bridges, and Tre Jones? Follow along as our NBA betting expert, Nick Galaida, breaks down three of his favorite NBA prop bets for today — Monday, March 11, 2024. Get all of Nick’s picks, including more NBA player props, at ScoresandOdds.
Happy Monday! The new week of NBA action begins with a 6-game slate. There are a number of notable names on the injury report this evening, including Stephen Curry, Immanuel Quickley, Scottie Barnes, Donovan Mitchell, and more – meaning that bettors should be careful to examine changes in usage for role players before placing wagers today. There is both opportunity and deception in these situations.
If you are looking to target the player prop market today, we have three player prop leans worth considering for Monday, March 11!
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NBA
Player Props Today – Monday, March 11, 2024
RJ Barrett Over/Under 23.5 Points
Since Pascal Siakam was traded in mid-January, RJ Barrett is averaging 22.1 points per 36 minutes of action with both Immanuel Quickley and Scottie Barnes off of the floor. Dating back to his time with the Knicks, Barrett has gone under this market number in 20 consecutive games in which Barnes has been inactive or not his teammate. In his first game with Barnes inactive as a member of the Raptors, Barrett had 23 points, but he took only 16 field goal attempts. If not for an efficient shooting performance, he would have likely ended up with closer to 20 points. Facing a tough Nuggets defense in the altitude to begin the new week, Barrett is likely to struggle on the offensive end of the floor.
- PICK: Barrett UNDER 23.5 Points (-120), BetMGM
Miles Bridges Over/Under 23.5 Points
Miles Bridges has scored 32 points and 24 points, respectively, in his last two trips to the hardwood, but it’s unlikely that he will be able to sustain that level of scoring for very long. Prior to his last 2 games, Bridges had scored 20 points or fewer in 8 of 10 games. Tonight, he gets a favorable matchup against the Pistons, but he’s playing on the road, where he has struggled this year. In 26 road games, Bridges is shooting 4.4% worse than at home overall, including 4.2% worse from beyond the arc. The math favors the under here.
- PICK: Bridges UNDER 23.5 Points (-120), DraftKings
Tre Jones Over/Under 8.5 Points
Tre Jones put together a strong month of February, averaging 11.2 points and 6.4 assists per game, but his production has fallen off considerably to begin March. Across his last four games, Jones is averaging only 3.8 points on 3.8 field goal attempts per contest, with his reduced volume being most notable from a betting perspective. He’s also played fewer than 25 minutes twice in those 4 games, which is something that happened only once during the entire month of February. There is a real risk that Jones is playing his way out of minutes in San Antonio with his recent numbers, making the under a worthwhile risk on Monday evening.
- PICK: Jones UNDER 8.5 Points (-115), FanDuel
NBA 2023-2024 Results – Wager Type
Points: 88-75-3
Rebounds: 32-30-2
Assists: 20-20-3
Points + Rebounds + Assists: 11-15
Points + Rebounds: 10-1
Points + Assists: 4-0
Rebounds + Assists: 3-4
Three-Pointers Made: 18-17
Field Goals Attempted: 1-0
3-Point Field Goals Attempted: 0-0-1
Turnovers: 1-0
Steals: 0-1
Blocks + Steals: 0-1
Combined Record: 188-164-9 (54.0%)
