Nets vs. Spurs prediction, odds, line, spread: 2023 NBA picks, Jan. 17 best bets from proven model
The San Antonio Spurs host the Brooklyn Nets for a cross-conference game on Tuesday evening. San Antonio aims to stop a five-game losing streak and improve on a 13-31 overall record. Brooklyn is 27-15 overall and 14-8 on the road this season. Kevin Durant (knee) is out of action for the Nets. Devin Vassell (knee) is out for the Spurs, with Doug McDermott (back) listed as questionable.
Tipoff is at 8 p.m. ET in San Antonio. Caesars Sportsbook lists Brooklyn as the 6-point road favorite, while the over/under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 234 in the latest Nets vs. Spurs odds from Caesars Sportsbook. Before making any Spurs vs. Nets picks, you'll want to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four-plus seasons. The model enters Week 14 of the 2022-23 NBA season on a stunning 45-20 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning more than $2,200. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Nets vs. Spurs and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Spurs vs. Nets:
- Nets vs. Spurs spread: Nets -6
- Nets vs. Spurs over/under: 234 points
- Nets vs. Spurs money line: Nets -250, Spurs +205
- BKN: The Nets are 12-10 against the spread in road games
- SAS: The Spurs are 12-10 against the spread in home games
Why the Nets can cover
The Nets will have the best player on the floor on Tuesday, even with Durant sidelined due to injury. Kyrie Irving is averaging 27.0 points, 5.4 rebounds and 5.3 assists per game in the last 15 contests. He is is putting up 25.6 points per game on 59.3% true shooting this season. Irving is a key part of an elite offense, with the Nets scoring more than 1.15 points per possession. Brooklyn leads the NBA in shooting efficiency, ranking in the top three of the league in field goal percentage, 3-point percentage and 2-point percentage.
The Nets are also in the top eight of the NBA in assists (26.3 per game) and fast break points (16.3 per game), and San Antonio is vulnerable on defense. The Spurs have the worst defensive rating (119.5 points allowed per 100 possessions) in the NBA this season, and the Spurs are also in the bottom five of the league with a 69.7% defensive rebound rate.
Why the Spurs can cover
The Spurs are led by 23-year-old forward Keldon Johnson, who is enjoying a productive season with 21.1 points per game. San Antonio is also a fantastic passing team, ranking in the top five of the NBA in assist percentage and assists per game. The Spurs average more than 55 points in the paint per game, a top-five mark, and San Antonio is in the top eight in offensive rebound rate (30.3%) and second-chance points (15.6 per game).
The Spurs are above-average in field goal percentage (47.3%), and San Antonio is facing a Brooklyn team that struggles to prevent free throw attempts, giving up 24.6 per game. On defense, the Spurs are very good at keeping opponents off the line (22.8 attempts allowed per game), and San Antonio should benefit from the Nets ranking dead-last in the NBA in offensive rebound rate at 22.7%.
How to make Spurs vs. Nets picks
SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the total, projecting 240 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in over 50% of simulations. You can only see the model's pick at SportsLine.
