New Mexico State Aggies vs UTEP Miners Prediction, Odds and Picks

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New Mexico State Aggies vs UTEP Miners Prediction, Odds and Picks

Vote on who will cover the spread!

Point Spread Pick

New Mexico State -3.0

Reasoning

The Aggies of New Mexico State have been on a roll lately, winning 2 in a row at home against Sam Houston and FIU, while winning 3 of their last 4 games overall and cashing at a 3-0-1 ATS clip. QB Diego Pavia is one of the more underrated college signal-callers on the Conference USA teams, completing 62.2% of his passes for 1,615 yards, 14 touchdowns and 5 interceptions, while also leading the team with 431 rushing yards and 2 scores. In fact, he is one of 9 quarterbacks at the FBS level to lead his team in both passing yards and rushing yards. Their top two receivers, Jonathan Brady and Trent Hudson, have managed at least 331 yards and a combined 8 scores, while going for 18.8 yards per catch or better. This is a quick-strike offense.

The UTEP Miners scored a big road win at FIU, 27-14, snapping a 4-game losing streak and a 0-3 ATS skid. However, that was a win on the road against a bad team with a struggling offense. The Miners defense has still allowed 24 or more points in 4 of the past 5 games, while yielding 31 or more points in 3 of those outings. New Mexico State is going to be able to exploit this bad UTEP defense for plenty of yards, and Pavia should be breaking ankles all night in the run game, too.

New Mexico State -3 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to New Mexico State -4.

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