New Orleans Pelicans at Miami Heat odds, picks and predictions

The New Orleans Pelicans (26-20) finish their 2-game weekend road trip in Florida with a stop against the Miami Heat (25-22) on Sunday. Tip-off is 3:30 p.m. ET at Miami-Dade Arena. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook's lines around the Pelicans vs. Heat odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Pelicans lost on Friday to the Orlando Magic 123-100 as 1-point favorites. They have lost 3 straight games and 8 of their last 11 overall.

The Heat return home after a 1-2 road trip for a 3-game homestand. They were 2-point favorites in their last game, a 115-90 loss to the Dallas Mavericks. They are 4-2 in their last 6 games and 7-4 in their last 11.

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Pelicans at Heat odds

Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:47 a.m. ET.

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Pelicans at Heat key injuries

Pelicans

• F Brandon Ingram (toe) out
• F E.J. Liddell (knee) out
• F Naji Marshall (toe) out
• F Zion Williamson (hamstring) out

Heat

• F Udonis Haslam (Achilles) probable
• F Nikola Jovic (back) out
• F Duncan Robinson (hamstring) out
• C Omar Yurtseven (ankle) out

Pelicans at Heat picks and predictions

Prediction

Heat 118, Pelicans 109

The Pelicans are 9-14 on the road this season and have dropped 6 of their last road games.

The Heat are 14-9 at home, but have lost their last 2 there. They have beaten the Pelicans in 5 straight meetings.

With the Pelicans missing a pair of 20-point scorers and having lost 8 of their last 11 games, I like the Heat winning at home. The line, though, isn't worth the wager. You don't need to go betting almost 3 times what you can make in a regular-season game.

PASS.

The Pelicans are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games. They are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 game games facing teams with a winning record and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 against teams with home winning records.

The Heat are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games. They are 6-4 ATS in their last 10 games overall.

BET HEAT -7.5 (-102)

The Over is 9-2 in the Pelicans' past 11 games following a straight-up loss. Five of their last 7 games have had at least 220 points.

The Over is 4-1 in the Heat's last 5 games following a straight-up loss.

Bet OVER 218.5 (-108).

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