NFL picks and parlays: Best NFL Week 3 parlay bets

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The 2023 NFL season continues its fiery start to the new campaign with 16 matchups across the league, and we’ve put together our favorite NFL picks and parlays heading into Week 3.

• Tennessee Titans +3 at Cleveland Browns
• Miami Dolphins -6.5 vs. Denver Broncos
• Los Angeles Rams +2.5 at Cincinnati Bengals

The Titans are already 2-0 against the spread coming off a year in which they started 8-2 ATS. They don’t have the superstar flare that many teams in the league have, but they’re consistently tough to beat and have an excellent head coach in Mike Vrabel.

Meanwhile, the Browns are stuck with Deshaun Watson, who is playing like a bottom-five quarterback, and just lost franchise star running back Nick Chubb for the year.

The Broncos are low-hanging fruit at the moment, but until they put a few impressive performances together, they will remain at the bottom of the tree.

They’re 0-2 and 0-2 ATS with two home losses and just surrendered an 18-point lead to the Washington Commanders.

They’re also the most penalized team in the league and now have the unenviable task of slowing down the league’s leading passer, Tua Tagovailoa.

The Rams have played well above expectations thus far. They upset the Seattle Seahawks in Week 1 (and covered by 21.5 points) and then played a hard-fought game against the San Francisco 49ers in a Week 2 loss.

All signs point to Joe Burrow being out with a calf injury, and backup Jake Browning has not completed a pass in his NFL career.

NFL Week 3 moneyline parlay: Bet the Bills, Ravens and Jaguars (+107 or better)

• Buffalo Bills ML at Washington Commanders
• Baltimore Ravens ML vs. Indianapolis Colts
• Jacksonville Jaguars ML vs. Houston Texans

The Bills are parabolic -- up, down, then up again. They were embarrassed in a Week 1 primetime loss to the Zach Wilson-led New York Jets then stomped the Las Vegas Raiders 38-10 in Week 2.

The Commanders have looked better than expected, and they should keep it close, but the Bills have no reason not to win.

The Ravens are 2-0 and looked better in Week 2 despite losing several key players to injury.

The Colts, meanwhile, lost Anthony Richardson to a concussion (no timeline on his return at the time of writing) and are not as blessed with talent as in years past.

The Jaguars started their year off with a 10-point win before falling at home to the Kansas City Chiefs -- no shame in that.

The Texans have found more success than expected through the air, but they don’t want to get into a shootout with Trevor Lawrence, Calvin Ridley and Co.

NFL underdog parlay: Long shot bets for Week 3 (+1271 or better)

• Pittsburgh Steelers ML at Las Vegas Raiders
• Atlanta Falcons ML at Detroit Lions
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers ML vs. Philadelphia Eagles

The Steelers just made a fourth-quarter comeback on Monday Night Football while gaining negative 7 yards of offense in said fourth quarter. Who's to say they can’t beat an objectively bad Raiders team?

Mike Tomlin is one of the best coaches in NFL history as an underdog, and they’re just averaged quarterback play away from being a Wild Card team.

The Falcons are another 2-0 team and one that is heavily committed to the run, which translates well on the road. They’ve also quietly allowed the third-fewest yards per game in the league and are facing a Lions team that just lost at home to the Seahawks.

Still think the Eagles are locks to get back to the Super Bowl? Think again! The loss of offensive coordinator Shane Steichen has disrupted the Eagles’ offensive flow, and their defense has surrendered the second-most passing yards per game.

Enter Baker Mayfield, who is fifth in passer rating for a 2-0 Tampa Bay squad.

Best NFL sportsbook promos for Week 3

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Grant is a Virginia-based writer for Catena Media who graduated from Virginia Tech in 2021 with a degree in sports media & analytics. He has contributed to well-known publications such as Forbes, appeared on the VSiN TV network. You can keep up with Grant's work here or by checking out his YouTube channel "The Sitch With Grant Mitchell.”