NFL Public Betting & Money Percentages for Saints vs Cardinals Thursday Night Football

I’ve always been more of a “that means they’re due” guy anyway when it comes to streaks…

— Jason Hayes (@JasonHayesNFL) October 20, 2022

Dig a little deeper into the numbers, though, and it could just be that the Saints vs Cardinals public betting splits are making sense. Arizona is 1-2 ATS at home this season. The Cardinals covered as 5.5-point home underdogs in a 20-17 Week 7 loss to the unbeaten Philadelphia Eagles. Arizona’s other home setbacks this season were against the Kansas City Chiefs and the reigning Super Bowl champion Los Angeles Rams, so it’s not like the Cardinals are being handled at home by mediocre squads.

In a season where road underdogs keep coming up big – 14 teams show winning ATS marks away from home – the Saints (0-2) and Carolina Panthers (0-2) are the NFL’s only winless road ATS clubs.

The opening line for this Week 7 TNF game was Arizona -2.5, then it shortened slightly to Saints +2, then went back to the original line. New Orleans is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 games against the Cardinals. And Arizona is 3-8-1 ATS in the club’s last 12 Thursday games.

Public Won’t Be Undermined on Saints-Cardinals Total

Two weeks ago the TNF final was Indianapolis 12, Denver 9. When everyone thought the total couldn’t possibly go lower, the Washington Commanders and Chicago Bears figuratively said ‘hold our beers.’ The Week 6 TNF game ended Washington 12, Chicago 7.

The public hit the over hard on that game and paid the price. Public bettors aren’t about to be fooled again.

This week, in the Saints vs Cardinals picks, oddsmakers are setting the total at 43.5points. That’s down a tick from an opening line of 44.5 points.

Regardless, public betting splits are going strong for the under this week.

— New Orleans Saints (@Saints) October 20, 2022

Analyzing the NFL team trends, New Orleans is 4-2 on the total this season. Among the 32 NFL teams, the Cleveland Browns (5-1) are the only team go over more often.

The Cardinals are 1-4-1 on the total. Arizona is among eight NFL teams that have only gone over once this season.

However, the total has gone over in six of the last eight Saints vs Cardinals games, and in four of the past five games between the two teams played at Arizona.

Seeking a play on the Saints vs Cardinals player props?  An over play on Alvin Kamara’s rushing yardage prop (61.5 yards) seems like a gift. He’s gone for 103 and 99 yards on the ground in the past two games.

Moneyline Bettors Also With Cardinals

Public bettors are surprisingly going with Arizona in the moneyline.

Logically, Arizona’s dismal home mark of eight successive SU losses should be making the Cardinals a hard play at home. That might explain why just 53% of moneyline bets are supporting Arizona. New Orleans is 5-2 SU in the past seven games against Arizona.

— FanDuel (@FanDuel) October 20, 2022

New Orleans is also 1-1 SU this season and 7-4 since the beginning of last season on the road. But of late, the Saints are 1-4 SU over the past five games. This is giving cause for 60% of moneyline handle to be going with the Cardinals.