NHL Betting Guide: Is xGF A Good Tool

The NHL season is almost upon us. It's time to get your betting strategy in order. Heer is a tool to add to your NHL betting guide.

The NHL betting checklist includes who's at home, what team is on the second leg of a back-to-back and how much ground either team has traveled before the game.

Corsi was the stat-du-jour for a while, but now Expected goals-for is what bettors look at. Ex expected goals is more accurate in predicting future success than Corsi.   xGF% is based on quality of shots taken, rather than quantity.

There is a strong correlation between winning and xGF%. Teams that ranked high in the NHL standings also ranked well when it comes to x GF%.

The correlation between xGF% and profits is weak. x GF% is useful when used to handicap NHL games. NaturalStatTrick is a good place to find xFg% data. The top five teams for profits and their xGf% rank in the NHL are: Minnesota, Florida, Carolina, New York Rangers and St. Louis Blues.