Nuggets vs. Kings prediction, odds, line, spread, time: 2024 NBA picks, Feb. 14 best bets by simulation model

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Nuggets vs. Kings prediction, odds, line, spread, time: 2024 NBA picks, Feb. 14 best bets by simulation model

The Denver Nuggets are set to host the Sacramento Kings in a key Western Conference matchup on Wednesday night. Denver is 36-18 overall and 21-4 at home, while Sacramento is 30-23 overall and 15-14 on the road. Both teams are riding two-game losing streaks. The Nuggets are looking to rebound from a 112-95 loss to the Milwaukee Bucks, while the Kings are aiming to bounce back from a 130-125 loss to the Phoenix Suns. Jamal Murray (leg) and Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (hamstring) are both doubtful for Denver. 

Tip-off at Ball Arena in Denver is set for 9 p.m. ET. The Nuggets are favored by 5 points in the latest Nuggets vs. Kings odds, and the over/under is 229.5 points. Before making any Nuggets vs. Kings picks, you'll want to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from the proven computer simulation model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past five-plus seasons. The model enters Week 17 of the 2023-24 NBA season on a sizzling 55-35 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning more than $1,800. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

The model has set its sights on Kings vs. Nuggets and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NBA odds and betting lines for the game:

  • Nuggets vs. Kings spread: Nuggets -5
  • Nuggets vs. Kings over/under: 229.5 points
  • Nuggets vs. Kings money line: Nuggets: -212, Kings: +175
  • Nuggets vs. Kings picks: See picks here

What you need to know about the Kings

The oddsmakers set the bar high, but the Kings and the Phoenix Suns didn't disappoint and broke past the 245 point over/under on Tuesday. Sacramento fell to the Suns 130-125. The Kings have now dropped back-to-back games. The losing side was boosted by Domantas Sabonis, who dropped a triple-double on 35 points, 18 rebounds, and 12 assists. De'Aaron Fox added 40 points and nine rebounds. 

The Kings are 8-6 against the spread in their last 14 games as the road underdog. Sabonis will have his work cut out in this one, matching up with two-time NBA MVP Nikola Jokic. Sabonis enters Wednesday averaging 20.2 points, 13.2 rebounds, and 8.4 assists per game. Fox leads the team averaging 26.7 points to go along with 5.4 assists and 4.0 rebounds per game. See which team to pick here.

What you need to know about the Nuggets

Meanwhile, it's hard to win when your three-point shooting is a whole 19.6% worse than the opposition, a fact the Nuggets found out the hard way on Monday. They took a 112-95 beating from the Milwaukee Bucks. The Nuggets were down 91-63 at the end of the third quarter, which was just too much to recover from. The Nuggets' loss came about despite a quality game from Nikola Jokic, who dropped a double-double with 29 points and 12 rebounds.

Jokic continues to be a dominant force for the Nuggets, and has emerged as the MVP front-runner. The 28-year-old center leads the team, averaging 26.3 points, 12.2 rebounds, and 9.0 assists per game. The Nuggets have five additional players averaging double-figure points per game, led by Jamal Murray (20.5), Michael Porter Jr. (15.9), and Aaron Gordon (13.6).  See which team to pick here

How to make Nuggets vs. Kings picks

The model has simulated Nuggets vs. Kings 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over on the point total, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in almost 60% of simulations. You can only see the model's pick at SportsLine.