Orioles vs. Astros Prediction: MLB Betting Lines & Picks

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09 August 2023

Orioles vs. Astros Prediction: MLB Betting Lines & Picks

The Baltimore Orioles (70-43) will look to Ryan Mountcastle, who is riding a 10-game hit streak, when they square off against the Houston Astros (65-49) and Jose Altuve, who has also safely hit in 10 consecutive games. It begins at 7:05 PM ET on Wednesday, at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

The favored Orioles (-136 moneyline odds to win) take the field at home against the Astros (+115). The matchup has an over/under of 9.5 total runs.

The betting facts in the article below use the latest odds as of August 9, 2023 at 11:18 AM ET. Ready to bet?

Orioles vs Astros Betting Lines

Orioles Betting Insights

The Orioles have entered the game as favorites 51 times this season and won 36, or 70.6%, of those games.
This season Baltimore has won 28 of its 36 games, or 77.8%, when favored by at least -136 on the moneyline.
The Orioles have a 57.6% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
Baltimore and its opponents have hit the over in 58 of its 113 games with a total this season.
In 113 games with a spread this season, the Orioles are 71-42-0 ATS.

Orioles Last 10 Games Trend

Astros Betting Insights

The Astros have been chosen as underdogs in 34 games this year and have walked away with the win 20 times (58.8%) in those games.
Houston has a win-loss record of 8-7 when favored by +115 or worse by bookmakers this year.
Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Astros have a 46.5% chance of pulling out a win.
Houston and its opponents have hit the over in 56 of its 114 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
The Astros have posted a record of 57-57-0 against the spread this season.

Astros Last 10 Games Trend

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Orioles Probable Pitcher – Jack Flaherty

Flaherty and his team have a record of 14-7-0 against the spread when he starts.
The right-hander’s last start was on Thursday, when he tossed six innings while giving up one earned run on four hits in a matchup with the Toronto Blue Jays.
Flaherty has seven starts in a row of five innings or more.
In 21 appearances this season, he has finished five without allowing an earned run.
Flaherty’s team has won 60% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (6-4).
In games Flaherty has started, his team is 14-7.
In Flaherty’s 21 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over 13 times.

Orioles Relief Pitchers

Astros Probable Pitcher – Cristian Javier

Javier (7-2 with a 4.39 ERA and 107 strikeouts in 112 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Astros, his 22nd of the season.
His last time out came on Thursday against the New York Yankees, when the right-hander threw 4 2/3 innings, surrendering three earned runs while allowing four hits.
Javier is trying to collect his 18th start of five or more innings this year in this game.
In one of his 21 total appearances this season he has not given up an earned run.
The Astros are 6-1 in Javier’s seven starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
Javier’s team has a 14-7 record in his starts this season.
Javier has started 21 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in 14 of them.

Astros Relief Pitchers

Orioles Hitting Trends

The Orioles have a 31-12 record in games this season when they belt at least two home runs.
Baltimore is 28-3 in games this season when it has put up at least five extra-base hits.
The team is 49-22 in the games this season it has racked up at least eight hits.
Baltimore is 52-10 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
The Orioles are 23-6 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Astros Hitting Trends

They’ve hit two or more homers in 37 games this season and are 28-9 in those matchups.
In 22 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 17-5.
In 76 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 59-17.
Houston has won 54 of its 63 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
They have a 28-7 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Orioles vs. Astros Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Orioles (-136)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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