Astros vs. Orioles Prediction: MLB Betting Lines & Picks

The Houston Astros (64-49) square off against the Baltimore Orioles (70-42) a game after Jake Meyers homered twice in a 9-7 victory over the Yankees. The game starts at 7:05 PM ET on Tuesday.

The Orioles are an underdog at home (+109) against the Astros (-130). The matchup has an over/under set at 8 total runs.

The insights in this article are based off odds valid as of August 8, 2023 at 1:12 AM ET. Ready to bet?

Astros vs Orioles Betting Lines

Astros Betting Insights

• This season, the Astros have won 44 out of the 79 games, or 55.7%, in which they’ve been favored.
• Houston is 38-23 this season when entering a game favored by -130 or more on the moneyline.
• The Astros have a 56.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Houston’s games have gone over the total in 55 of its 113 chances.
• In 113 games with a spread this season, the Astros are 57-56-0 ATS.

Astros Last 10 Games Trend

Orioles Betting Insights

• The Orioles have won in 34, or 55.7%, of the 61 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• This season, Baltimore has come away with a win 20 times in 37 chances when named as an underdog of at least +109 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Orioles have a 47.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
• Baltimore and its opponents have gone over in 57 of its 112 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• In 112 games with a line this season, the Orioles have a mark of 70-42-0 against the spread.

Orioles Last 10 Games Trend

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Astros Probable Pitcher – Framber Valdez

• Valdez’s team is 10-11-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
• The left-hander last pitched on Wednesday, when he did not allow a hit in nine scoreless innings against the Cleveland Guardians.
• Valdez has started 21 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings 19 times. He averages 6.4 innings per appearance.
• In 21 appearances this season, he has finished four without allowing an earned run.
• When Valdez starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 10-9.
• Valdez’s team has won 12 of his 21 starts this season.
• Out of Valdez’s 21 starts with a total this season, 11 have hit the over.

Astros Relief Pitchers

Orioles Probable Pitcher – Grayson Rodriguez

• The Orioles will send Rodriguez (2-3) to the mound to make his 15th start of the season. He is 2-3 with a 6.09 ERA and 76 strikeouts through 68 2/3 innings pitched.
• His last appearance came on Wednesday against the Toronto Blue Jays, when the right-hander tossed 5 2/3 innings, surrendering three earned runs while giving up two hits.
• Rodriguez is trying for his fifth straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 4.9 frames per start.
• In three of his 14 total appearances this season he has not allowed an earned run.
• The Orioles have been the moneyline underdog in nine of Rodriguez’s starts this season, and they went 5-4 in those games.
• Over Rodriguez’s 14 starts, his team is 9-5.
• Rodriguez has started 14 contests with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in nine of them.

Orioles Relief Pitchers

Astros Hitting Trends

• The Astros are 28-9 this season in games when they crush two or more home runs.
• Houston has gone 17-5 in its 22 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
• The club has put up at least eight hits 75 times this season, and has a 58-17 record in those games.
• Houston is 53-9 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
• The Astros are 28-7 in the 35 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Orioles Hitting Trends

• They have won 31 of the 42 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
• In 31 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 28-3.
• In 70 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 49-21.
• Baltimore has a 52-9 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
• They have a 23-6 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Astros vs. Orioles Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Orioles (+109)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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