Pacers vs. Pistons prediction, odds, line, start time: 2023 NBA picks, March 13 best bets from proven model
On Monday evening, the Indiana Pacers take on the Detroit Pistons for the second time in three days at Little Caesars Arena. The Pacers won the first matchup on Saturday, and Indiana is 31-37 overall this season. Detroit is 15-53 and aiming to stop the NBA's longest active losing streak with 11 consecutive defeats. Bojan Bogdanovic (Achilles), Alec Burks (foot), Jaden Ivey (protocols), Isaiah Stewart (shoulder), Hamidou Diallo (ankle), Marvin Bagley III (ankle), and Cade Cunningham (tibia) are out for the Pistons. Tyrese Haliburton (knee), Myles Turner (back), Bennedict Mathurin (ankle), and TJ McConnell (back) are out for the Pacers, with Buddy Hield (foot) listed as questionable.
Tipoff is at 7 p.m. ET in Detroit. Caesars Sportsbook lists Indiana as the 2.5-point road favorite, while the over/under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 229.5 in the latest Pacers vs. Pistons odds. Before making any Pistons vs. Pacers picks, you'll want to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four-plus seasons. The model enters Week 21 of the 2022-23 NBA season on a stunning 61-30 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning nearly $2,700. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Pacers vs. Pistons and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Pistons vs. Pacers:
- Pacers vs. Pistons spread: Pacers -2.5
- Pacers vs. Pistons over/under: 229.5 points
- Pacers vs. Pistons money line: Pacers -170, Pistons +143
- IND: The Pacers are 16-17 against the spread in road games
- DET: The Pistons are 14-19-1 against the spread in home games
- Pacers vs. Pistons picks: See picks at SportsLine
Featured Game| Detroit Pistons vs. Indiana Pacers
Why the Pacers can cover
Indiana picked up a win in the same building on Saturday, out-playing Detroit in key aspects. The Pacers generated 34 free throw attempts and secured 18 offensive rebounds in the game, and four players scored at least 17 points for Indiana. On the other end, the Pacers held the Pistons to fewer than 1.1 points per possession with 54% true shooting. Indiana's offense has also been very potent in prominent categories over the course of the regular season.
The Pacers are in the top five of the league with 13.9 3-pointers per game, and Indiana connects on 36.4% of long-range attempts. Indiana is also in the top six of the NBA in assist percentage (64.0%) and assists per game (26.7), with the Pacers leading the league with 18.6 fast break points per game. Indiana secures more than 28% of available rebounds on the offensive glass, and the Pacers will face a Detroit defense that ranks in the bottom five in defensive rating, opponent shooting and free throw prevention.
Why the Pistons can cover
The Pistons fell short in the first matchup on Friday, but Detroit committed a turnover on only 11% of possessions and had seven players score in double figures against Indiana. For the season, Detroit leads the NBA in free throw creation, averaging 26.5 attempts per game. The Pistons are also very adept on the offensive glass, securing 29.1% of available rebounds after missed shots. Detroit is also in the top 10 of the league with 14.8 second-chance points per game.
From there, the Pistons can take solace in Indiana's struggling defense. The Pacers are allowing nearly 1.16 points per possession, a bottom-five figure in the NBA this season, and Indiana is dead-last in the league with a 68.6% defensive rebound rate. The Pacers also give up 25.7 free throw attempts per game, feeding into Detroit's already present strength in offensive rebounding, and Indiana is in the bottom five in assists allowed (26.2 per game).
How to make Pistons vs. Pacers picks
SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the total, projecting a combined 233 points The model also says one side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time. You can only see the model's pick at SportsLine.
