Padres vs. Rockies Prediction: MLB Betting Lines & Picks

The San Diego Padres (53-55) visit the Colorado Rockies (42-65) at 3:10 PM ET on Wednesday, with both teams hoping to win the series.

The Padres are favored (-200 moneyline odds) when they take on the Rockies (+168). The matchup has an over/under set at 12.5 total runs.

The betting facts in the article below reflect odds as of August 2, 2023 at 3:26 PM ET. Ready to bet?

Padres vs Rockies Betting Lines

Padres Betting Insights

• The Padres have been favorites in 82 games this season and won 44 (53.7%) of those contests.
• San Diego has a record of 8-8 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -200 on the moneyline.
• The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 66.7% chance of a victory for the Padres.
• San Diego and its opponents have hit the over in 42 of its 108 games with a total this season.
• In 108 games with a spread this season, the Padres are 53-55-0 ATS.

Padres Last 10 Games Trend

Rockies Betting Insights

• The Rockies have been victorious in 38, or 40.9%, of the 93 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This year, Colorado has won 14 of 40 games when listed as at least +168 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Rockies have an implied victory probability of 37.3% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
• Colorado and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 45 of its 107 opportunities.
• The Rockies have posted a record of 52-55-0 against the spread this season.

Rockies Last 10 Games Trend

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Padres Probable Pitcher – Nick Martinez

• Martínez’s team is 1-4-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
• The right-hander last pitched on Tuesday against the Colorado Rockies, throwing one inning of relief while giving up no earned runs without allowing a hit.
• In five starts this season, Martinez has lasted five or more innings three times, with an average of 1.6 innings per appearance.
• He has finished 30 appearances without allowing an earned run in 46 chances this season.
• Martinez’s team has a record of 1-2 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
• Martínez’s team has a 2-3 record in his starts this season.
• The teams have gone under the point total set by oddsmakers in each of the five games Martinez has started this season.

Padres Relief Pitchers

Rockies Probable Pitcher – Kyle Freeland

• Freeland gets the start for the Rockies, his 21st of the season. He is 4-11 with a 4.79 ERA and 66 strikeouts through 107 2/3 innings pitched.
• In his last appearance on Saturday against the Oakland Athletics, the lefty threw four innings, allowing three earned runs while surrendering nine hits.
• Freeland will try to secure his 17th outing of five or more innings pitched this season. He averages 5.4 innings per appearance.
• He has held his opponents without an earned run in four of his 20 outings this season.
• The Rockies are 6-11 in Freeland’s 17 starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
• Freeland’s team has put together a 7-13 record in his 20 starts.
• Freeland’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in seven of 20 contests.

Rockies Relief Pitchers

Padres Hitting Trends

• The Padres have a 27-20 record this season in games when they hit two or more home runs.
• San Diego is 20-8 in games this season when it has had at least five extra-base hits.
• The team has strung together eight or more hits in 60 games this season, and is 42-18 in those contests.
• San Diego is 44-7 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
• The Padres are 27-19 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Rockies Hitting Trends

• They have won 15 of the 25 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
• In 23 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 11-12.
• In 67 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 31-36.
• In 43 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 31-12.
• They have won 10 of their 14 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Padres vs. Rockies Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Padres (-200)
Over/Under Pick: Under (12.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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