Padres vs. Yankees Predictions & Picks

Friday's contest that pits the New York Yankees (30-22) versus the San Diego Padres (23-27) at Yankee Stadium has a projected final score of 5-3 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of the Yankees, who is a small favorite in this matchup. First pitch is at 7:05 PM on May 26.

The probable pitchers are Joe Musgrove (1-2) for the Padres and Randy Vasquez for the Yankees.

Padres vs. Yankees Game Info & Odds

• When: Friday, May 26, 2023 at 7:05 PM ET
• Where: Yankee Stadium in The Bronx, New York
• How to Watch on TV: Apple TV+

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Padres vs. Yankees Score Prediction

Our prediction for this contest is Yankees 5, Padres 3.

Total Prediction for Padres vs. Yankees

• Total Prediction: Under 9 runs

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Padres Performance Insights

• In nine games as the favorite over the last 10 matchups, the Padres have a record of 4-5.
• In its last 10 games with a total, San Diego and its opponents are 3-7-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
• In their last game with a spread, the Padres failed to cover.
• The Padres have won 15, or 48.4%, of the 31 games they've played as favorites this season.
• This season San Diego has won 15 of its 31 games, or 48.4%, when favored by at least -115 on the moneyline.
• The Padres have a 53.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• San Diego ranks 25th in the majors with 200 total runs scored this season.
• The Padres have a 3.98 team ERA that ranks 10th among all league pitching staffs.

Yankees Performance Insights

• The Yankees have played as the underdog three times over their past 10 games and are undefeated in those matchups.
• In its last 10 games with an over/under, New York and its opponents have combined to eclipse the total five times.
• The Yankees have not covered the runline in any of their last 10 matchups (two of those games had a spread).
• The Yankees have been chosen as underdogs in 14 games this year and have walked away with the win six times (42.9%) in those games.
• This year, New York has won six of 14 games when listed as at least -105 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Yankees have an implied victory probability of 51.2% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
• The offense for New York is the No. 11 offense in the majors, scoring 4.6 runs per game (239 total runs).
• The Yankees have the sixth-best ERA (3.72) in the majors this season.

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