Philadelphia Phillies vs Arizona Diamondbacks 6/13/2023 Picks

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13 June 2023

Philadelphia Phillies vs Arizona Diamondbacks 6/13/2023 Picks Predictions Previews

The Philadelphia Phillies will go against the Arizona Diamondbacks in MLB action at Chase Field, AZ, on Tuesday, June 13, 2023, at 9:40 p.m. ET.

The Phillies approached this series with a 7-1 record over their previous eight games after taking two of the three matches from the Dodgers (a feat the Diamondbacks undoubtedly appreciated).

Additionally, they were approaching.500 for the first time since mid-May. However, their 5.40 away ERA was tested against the fearsome Diamondbacks lineup this season.

Pitching on the road was a huge weakness for them. Zack Wheeler will start this time, and his road ERA is 5.18 as opposed to his home ERA of 2.93.

Against Arizona in May, Wheeler was also hit for four runs, three of which were earned. He performed brilliantly in two of his most recent three starts, earning game scores above 80.

A road flop against a subpar offense comes in between. Nobody is certain which Wheeler will appear this time, but with a subpar bullpen behind him, Philadelphia’s best hopes rest with the untouchable Wheeler.

On the road, the attacking output decreases, but not as much. The offense is as healthy as it will be at any point this year, and they are up against a weak pitching staff, if there is any good news.

Trea Turner, a recent arrival, is also making a play at the plate. Despite having talent on the roster, this club enters the desert ranked 20th in home runs hit and 21st in runs per game.

This team ranks 11th in batting average, 16th in on-base percentage, and 13th in slugging despite having bottom-10 strikeout and walk percentages. Philadelphia’s offense has not been very impressive thus far, but there are signs that they’re about to go on a tear.

There were runners on base when the Phillies’ bullpen pitchers entered the game 50 times, and they also made 58 outings in high-leverage situations.

Over the season, the bullpen recorded 33 holds, ranking 19th in MLB. The Phillies’ relief pitchers entered games in 56 save situations with a 69.6% save percentage.

They made 16 saves this year, but seven of their 23 opportunities were missed.

The total went under in four of Philadelphia’s last five matches.
The Philadelphia Phillies are 7-1 SU in their last eight matches.
The Philadelphia Phillies are 2-5 SU in their last seven matches against Arizona.

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Arizona is showing its teeth in first place in the NL West this season and tied for first in the National League. The fourth-ranked offense in runs per game is where it all starts.

Rookie Corbin Carroll, who recently won NL Player of the Week, is crucial to that attack. He had a.308/.389/.579 slash line, 19 steals in 21 attempts, 13 home runs, and 47 runs scored going into this series.

Carroll is the offensive engine for a team whose only real weakness is drawing walks.

In addition, they rank fifth in batting average, sixth in slugging percentage, fifth in stolen bases, ninth in on-base percentage, and thirteenth in home runs.

Arizona’s unbeaten streak, which was at five matches to start this four-game set, was salvaged by a four-run ninth inning on Sunday.

Even with all the victories, Phoenix’s pitching was not as strong. In 2023, Zach Davies and his 6.75 home ERA will probably not help.

This year, he pitched 13.1 innings at home and gave up 10 runs, all of which were earned. In those 13.1 innings, Davies only induced 10 strikeouts while allowing 17 hits and seven walks.

The sole reason for optimism is that Davies presently has the lowest FIP of his career due to the fact that he only allowed two home runs.

Although the back end recently stabilized, the Diamondbacks bullpen is average, so his objective should be to give the ball to one of the finishing arms rather than a bridge player.

Although Arizona’s offense has the ability to save him, it would be preferable if they didn’t have to.

Arizona had relief pitchers take the mound for 29 chances to save a game, and they saved 17 games. They sent 213 relievers to the mound this season and are presently ranked 21st in baseball with a save percentage of 58.6%.

Their relievers entered the field 69 times with runners on and 68 times in high-leverage situations. Out of 105 inherited base runners, Arizona’s relievers have a 28.6% inherited scoring percentage.

The Diamondbacks have 73 save opportunities and have achieved 43 holds while also blowing 12 saves.

The total went over in four of Arizona’s last six matches.
The Arizona Diamondbacks are 5-0 SU in their last five matches.
The total went over in five of Arizona’s last seven matches against Philadelphia.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks The MLB pick for this game is the Arizona Diamondbacks. Philadelphia entered this series with a 13-22 road record.

Additionally, they started the game 8.0 games adrift of the Diamondbacks in the standings. They might have an advantage in this game’s starting pitching, but that’s about it.

When Arizona faced Wheeler in May, they still defeated him. The Diamondbacks will defeat Philadelphia’s lone advantage in this game and maintain their winning streak at home.

Their offense poses such a threat. The Arizona Diamondbacks will win by a predicted score of 6-2.

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