Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins NL Wild Card Game 1 odds, tips and betting trends

Sportsbook Wire

03 October 2023

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins NL Wild Card Game 1 odds, tips and betting trends

The Philadelphia Phillies square off against the Miami Marlins in Game 1 of the NL Wild Card Series on Tuesday 8:08 PM ET at Citizens Bank Park.

The Phillies are the home favorite (-167) against the Marlins (+142). The Philadelphia Phillies will hand the ball to Zack Wheeler (13-6, 3.56 ERA), who is looking for win No. 14 on the season, and the Marlins will turn to Jesus Luzardo (10-9, 3.89 ERA).

The Phillies won their last game against the Mets Tuesday by a 9-1 score. Brandon Marsh went 2-for-5 with a home run and four RBI to lead them offensively. Nick Nelson picked up the win on the strength of 5 1/3 innings, giving up one earned run on two hits while striking out three.

The Marlins fell to the Pirates 3-0 Tuesday. Xavier Edwards went 1-for-4 in the defeat, while Bryan Hoeing took the loss on the mound, pitching one inning, giving up three earned runs on three hits while striking out one.

Here’s what you need to prepare for this playoff contest between the Phillies and Marlins, including viewing options.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins odds and betting lines

BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Monday at 9:16 PM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

Favorite: Phillies (-167, bet $167 to win $100)
Underdog: Marlins (+142, bet $100 to win $142)
Over/under: 7.5

The Phillies have been favorites in 111 games this season and won 66 (59.5%) of those contests.
Philadelphia is 27-15 this season when entering a game favored by -167 or more on the moneyline.
The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 62.5% chance of a victory for the Phillies.
Games involving Philadelphia has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 74 of 162 chances this season.
The Phillies are 72-90-0 against the spread this season.

Wheeler (13-6 with a 3.56 ERA and 212 strikeouts in 192 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Phillies, his 33rd of the season.
The righty last pitched on Thursday against the Pittsburgh Pirates, when he threw four innings, allowing one earned run while giving up four hits.
In 32 games this season, the 33-year-old has an ERA of 3.56, with 9.9 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting .227 against him.
Wheeler has 21 quality starts under his belt this season.
Wheeler has pitched five or more innings in a game 29 times this year entering this outing.
In five of his appearances this season he did not allow an earned run.
He will take the hill against a Marlins team that is hitting .259 as a unit (fourth in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .405 (19th in MLB) with 166 total home runs (22nd in MLB).
Wheeler has pitched 18 innings, giving up six earned runs on 15 hits while striking out 17 against the Marlins this season.
The 33-year-old’s 3.56 ERA ranks 18th, 1.073 WHIP ranks sixth, and 9.9 K/9 ranks 12th among qualifying pitchers this season.

The Phillies have hit 220 homers this season, which ranks eighth in the league.
Hitters for Philadelphia rank fifth in the majors with a combined .438 team slugging percentage.
The Phillies rank eighth in MLB with a .256 team batting average.
Philadelphia has scored 796 runs this season, which ranks eighth in MLB.
The Phillies have an on-base percentage of .327 this season, which ranks ninth in the league.
Philadelphia ranks 23rd in strikeouts per game (9.1) among MLB offenses.

The Marlins have been underdogs in 86 games this season and have come away with the win 40 times (46.5%) in those contests.
Miami has a win-loss record of 10-15 when favored by +142 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Marlins have a 41.3% chance of pulling out a win.
Miami and its opponents have gone over in 74 of its 160 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
The Marlins are 73-87-0 against the spread in their 160 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Luzardo (10-9 with a 3.89 ERA and 198 strikeouts in 171 1/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Marlins, his 32nd of the season.
The lefty last pitched on Saturday, Sept. 23 against the Milwaukee Brewers, when he went five innings, allowing three earned runs while giving up three hits.
The 26-year-old has an ERA of 3.89, with 10.4 strikeouts per nine innings in 31 games this season. Opponents are hitting .245 against him.
Luzardo has 16 quality starts this year.
Luzardo is trying for his seventh straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.5 innings per start.
He has held his opponents without an earned run in seven of his 31 appearances this season.
The opposing Phillies offense has the fifth-ranked slugging percentage (.438) and ranks eighth in home runs hit (220) in all of MLB. They have a collective .256 batting average, and are eighth in the league with 1418 total hits and eighth in MLB play scoring 796 runs.
Luzardo has a 3.65 ERA and a 1.135 WHIP against the Phillies this season in 12 1/3 innings pitched, allowing a .261 batting average over two appearances.
The 26-year-old ranks 28th in ERA (3.89), 28th in WHIP (1.249), and eighth in K/9 (10.4) among qualifying pitchers in MLB action this season.

The Marlins rank 22nd in MLB play with 166 total home runs.
So far this year, Miami is 19th in baseball, slugging .405.
The Marlins have the fourth-best batting average in the league (.259).
The offense for Miami is No. 26 in baseball scoring 4.1 runs per game (666 total runs).
The Marlins’ .316 on-base percentage ranks 19th in baseball.