Philadelphia Phillies vs Texas Rangers Prediction, 4/1/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Texas Rangers

Date: Saturday, April 1, 2023

Location: Globe Life Field in Arlington, TX

TV: Bally Sports Southwest

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (-150) Texas (+130)

The Texas Rangers (68-94 last season) will try to beat the Philadelphia Phillies (87-75 last year) at Globe Life Field on Saturday. The moneyline on this contest has Philadelphia at -150 while Texas is coming in at +130. The total is 7. The expected starting pitchers will be Zack Wheeler and Nathan Eovaldi.

The Phillies hit 255 two-baggers as a unit and knocked 205 balls out of the park. Philadelphia had a slugging percentage of .422 and were rung up 1,363 times, while drawing a walk on 478 occasions. As a team, the Philadelphia Phillies compiled 4.6 runs per contest, which had them at 7th in baseball. They compiled 719 runs batted in as well as 1,392 hits last season, and their batting average was at .253. They earned a total of 747 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .317.

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The Phillies compiled a team ERA of 3.97 last year (18th in baseball), and their staff struck out 1,423 hitters. They earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.07 and the pitching staff held a collective WHIP of 1.26. Phillies pitchers surrendered 150 home runs and 685 total runs (15th in the league). They walked 463 opposing batters and their FIP was 3.60 as a team over the course of last year.

Phillies pitchers entered the contest with runners on 130 times in addition to having 149 outings in high leverage situations. The bullpen notched 88 holds over the course of last season (13th in baseball). The Phillies relief pitchers compiled a save rate of 70.0% and stepped onto the hill in 149 save situations. They earned 42 saves over the course of last year and did not convert 18 of 60 save chances. The relief pitchers inherited 197 base runners over the course of the prior season and 32.5% of them ended up scoring. The Phillies had sent 516 relief pitchers to the hill over the course of last season.

The Phillies transformed 68.7% of balls in play into outs out of 12,855 innings on the field, which had them ranked 25th in baseball. The Philadelphia Phillies had a tally of 4,285 putouts last year, as well as 1,416 assists and 69 errors. Their fielding percentage finished at .988 which ranked 4th in baseball, and they turned 129 double plays.

Wheeler has pitched in 1,186 innings and has accounted for 1,189 punch outs so far in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 3.42 (451 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.203. He has given up 1,061 base knocks (8.0 hits per nine innings) with 366 walks. Wheeler (74-57 mark in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 3.37 while he has gone up against 4,927 hitters in the majors.

The Rangers held a team slugging percentage of .395 and they scored 4.36 runs per outing (12th in baseball). They hit 224 two-baggers, while taking a walk 456 times as well as notching 707 runs. Texas knocked in 198 home runs in the previous season to go along with 670 runs batted in. They were called out on strikes on 1,446 occasions (7th in the league) and accounted for 1,308 hits. The Texas Rangers accounted for a team on-base percentage of .301 and a team batting average of .239 last season.

The Rangers had a team WHIP of 1.342 with a FIP of 4.18 as a unit last year. Their strikeout to walk ratio came in at 2.26 (1,314 strikeouts vs 581 free passes). They finished at 20th in MLB as a staff in total hits surrendered with 1,345. They yielded 169 homers and they conceded 4.66 runs per 9 innings (23rd in the league). The Texas pitching staff surrendered 743 runs in the prior season while having an ERA of 4.22 (673 earned runs given up).

Texas relievers held an inherited score percentage of 32.3% out of 189 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers stepped onto the mound 161 times in high leverage situations and on 126 occasions with base runners. Finishing with 153 save situations, the Rangers accumulated 86 holds in addition to 30 blown saves. They were ranked 26th in the league with a save rate of 55.2%, and they dispatched 532 bullpen pitchers to the hill last year. Texas had bullpen pitchers take the mound in 67 save opportunities and they walked away with 37 saves.

Out of their 12,915 innings played, the Rangers held a efficiency on defense of 69.3% (18th in baseball). Texas Rangers turned 143 double plays and earned a fielding percentage of .984 (23rd in baseball). The Rangers accrued 1,528 assists, 96 errors and earned 4,305 putouts over the course of the prior season.

Thus far in his career, Eovaldi has surrendered 1,307 base hits while tallying 1,060 strikeouts in 1,257 frames. He has given up a total of 581 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.322 and having a FIP of 3.8. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.98 and he has gone up against 5,355 batters so far in his career. Eovaldi (67-68 mark in his career) is the owner of a 4.16 earned run average and has conceded 9.4 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-150)

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