Philadelphia Phillies vs Texas Rangers Prediction, 3/30/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Texas Rangers

Date: Thursday, March 30, 2023

Location: Globe Life Field in Arlington, TX

TV: Bally Sports Southwest

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (-105) Texas (-115)

The Philadelphia Phillies (87-75 last year) are on their way to Globe Life Field on Thursday where they will attempt to beat the Texas Rangers (68-94 last season). The line on this matchup has the Phillies at -105 while the Rangers are coming in at -115. The over/under is set at 6.5. The starting pitchers are Aaron Nola and Jacob deGrom.

As a squad, the Philadelphia Phillies earned 4.6 runs/g, which had them sitting at 7th in the league. They accounted for 747 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .317. The Phillies tallied 255 doubles as a squad and hit 205 baseballs out of the park. They tallied 719 runs batted in in addition to 1,392 hits in the previous season, and their team batting average was .253. Philadelphia had a slugging rate of .422 and were called out on strikes 1,363 times, while taking a walk on 478 occasions.

Phillies pitchers gave up 150 long balls and 685 total runs (15th in baseball). They walked 463 opposing batters and their FIP finished at 3.60 as a squad for the prior year. They accrued a K/BB ratio of 3.07 and the pitching staff had a collective WHIP of 1.26. The Phillies had a team earned run average of 3.97 for the previous season (18th in baseball), and their staff rung up 1,423 hitters.

The Phillies had sent 516 relief pitchers to the hill over the course of last year. The relievers inherited 197 runners in the previous season with 32.5% of them earned a run for their team. They accumulated 42 saves for the previous season and missed out on 18 of 60 save chances. The Phillies bullpen earned a save rate of 70.0% and stepped onto the hill in 149 save situations. The relievers notched 88 holds in the previous season (13th in baseball). Phillies bullpen pitchers stepped onto the hill with runners on 130 times in addition to having 149 outings in high leverage situations.

The Philadelphia Phillies finished with 4,285 putouts over the course of last year, as well as 1,416 assists and 69 errors. Their fielding rate held steady at .988 which put them in 4th in the majors, and had a total of 129 double plays. The Phillies transformed 68.7% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 12,855 innings on the diamond, which ranked them 25th in pro baseball.

Nola (78-62 career mark) is the owner of a FIP of 3.28 while he has gone up against 5,022 batters in the majors. He has surrendered 1,056 base knocks (7.7 hits per nine innings) and has had 326 walks. His ERA is 3.60 (492 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.125. Nola has taken the ball for 1,228 innings and is sitting with 1,380 strikeouts so far in his MLB career.

The Texas Rangers had an OBP of .301 and a team batting average of .239 last year. They struck out on 1,446 occasions (7th in MLB) and notched a total of 1,308 base hits. Texas hit 198 HRs for the prior year to go along with 670 runs batted in. The Rangers held a slugging percentage of .395 and they were earning 4.36 runs per game (12th in baseball). They recorded 224 two-baggers, while walking 456 times as well as scoring 707 runs.

The Rangers had a WHIP of 1.342 and had a FIP of 4.18 as a team in the previous season. They ranked 20th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 1,345. The Texas pitching staff conceded 743 runs for the prior year while holding a team ERA of 4.22 (673 earned runs relinquished). Their strikeout to walk ratio was 2.26 (1,314 strikeouts vs 581 walks). They conceded 169 dingers and they surrender 4.66 runs per 9 innings (23rd in the league).

Texas called on relievers to enter the contest in 67 save chances and they converted 37 saves. They were sitting at 26th in baseball with a save rate of 55.2%, and they sent 532 relief pitchers onto the field last year. Their relief pitchers stepped onto the mound 161 times in high leverage situations and on 126 occasions with runners on. Texas bullpen pitchers held an inherited score percentage of 32.3% out of their 189 inherited base runners. With 153 save situations, the Rangers accrued 86 holds and also 30 blown saves.

Texas Rangers turned 143 double plays and held a fielding percentage of .984 (23rd in professional baseball). The Rangers recorded 1,528 assists, 96 errors and accumulated 4,305 putouts in the previous season. In their 12,915 innings on the field, the Rangers accumulated a efficiency on defense of 69.3% (18th in professional baseball).

deGrom (82-57 career mark) has earned a 2.52 ERA while giving up 6.9 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 5.30 and he has faced 5,217 opposing hitters so far in his MLB career. He has given up 372 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 0.998 and having a FIP of 2.6. During his pro baseball career, deGrom has given up 1,021 base knocks while he has accumulated 1,607 strikeouts in 1,326 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Texas (-115)

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