Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals Prediction 7-2-23 MLB Picks

The Washington Nationals and the Philadelphia Phillies meet in an NL East division matchup in MLB action from Citizens Bank Park on Sunday. Let’s dive into the odds, starting pitching matchup, history and make a prediction for this game.

Odds

The Phillies are -240 home favorites while the Nationals are +200 road underdogs. The total for this game is set at 9.5 runs.

Starting Pitching Matchup

Trevor Williams will start for the Nationals here and is 4-4 with a 4.28 ERA and 62 strikeouts this season. Ranger Suarez will start for the Phillies here and is 2-2 with a 3.18 ERA and 50 strikeouts this season. 

Matchup History

Philadelphia’s 19-4 win over the Nationals on Saturday made it three wins in the last four head-to-head meetings for the Phillies in this head-to-head matchup. 

Trends

Washington is 5-11 in their last 16 games following a loss and 22-71 in their last 93 division games while the under is 4-1 in their last 5 games against a team with a left-handed starter. Philadelphia is 19-7 in their last 26 games overall and 4-9 in their last 13 division games while the under is 8-2-2 in their last 12 home games. 

Pick

I’m rolling with the Phillies here. I just feel like Ranger Suarez is the better option for the Phils in the starting role here. Trevor Williams has been a nice fill-in arm for the Nats this season, but I just don’t like his chances in this matchup against a Phillies team that woke up offensively on Saturday. Not a game I’m rushing to bet at this line, but I’ll side with the Phils -1.5 here.