Phillies vs. Nationals odds, prediction, line: 2022 MLB picks, Friday, June 17 best bets from proven model
Phillies vs. Nationals is a Friday, June 17, MLB game. Caesars Sportsbook lists Philadelphia as the -175 money-line favorite. The total number of runs Vegas thinks will be scored is 10.5. SportsLine's advanced computer simulation model simulates every MLB match 10,000 times. It's on a 55-42 roll on top-rated MLB money line picks through 10 weeks.
SportsLine's model has set its sights on Phillies vs. Nationals and has made its picks and MLB predictions. The money line for Phillies is -175, the over-under is 10.5 runs and the run line is 1.
Phillies are 11-9 in day games and Washington is 11.14 in the same period.
Phillies have the better offense and the superior starting pitcher in this game. Ranger Suarez has allowed three runs or fewer in 11 of 12 outings this season. Suarez is a 3.68 ERA on the road this year and has a career 3-09 ERA overall. Washington has the fewest home runs in the National League this term (52). The Nationals have a struggling pitcher Joan Adon and a poor relief corps.
Washington is on a five-game losing streak. The Nationals have 106 doubles and are in the top five of the National League in batting average (254), hits (565) and strikeouts (19.4%). Philadelphia's relief pitchers have a 4.20 ERA this season and the worst bullpen walk rate (4.62 per nine innings).
SportsLine's model is leaning under on the total and projects 10.1 combined runs. One side of the money line has all the value.
