Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Predictions & Picks

Monday's contest between the Philadelphia Phillies (90-72) and Arizona Diamondbacks (84-78) matching up at Citizens Bank Park has a projected final score of 5-4 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of the Phillies, so expect a competitive matchup. The game will begin at 8:07 PM ET on October 16.

The Phillies will call on Zack Wheeler (13-6, 3.61 ERA) against the Diamondbacks and Zac Gallen (17-9, 3.47 ERA).

Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Game Info & Odds

• When: Monday, October 16, 2023 at 8:07 PM ET
• Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• How to Watch on TV: TBS

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Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Score Prediction

Our prediction for this matchup is Phillies 5, Diamondbacks 4.

Total Prediction for Phillies vs. Diamondbacks

• Total Prediction: Over 7 runs

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Phillies Performance Insights

• In four games as the favorite over the last 10 matchups, the Phillies have a record of 3-1.
• In its last 10 games with a total, Philadelphia and its opponents are 4-5-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
• The Phillies have not played a game with a spread over their last 10 outings.
• The Phillies have entered the game as favorites 108 times this season and won 66, or 61.1%, of those games.
• Philadelphia has entered 41 games this season favored by -165 or more and is 25-16 in those contests.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Phillies have a 62.3% chance to win.
• Philadelphia has scored 796 runs this season, which ranks eighth in MLB.
• The Phillies' 4.03 team ERA ranks 12th among all MLB pitching staffs.

Diamondbacks Performance Insights

• The Diamondbacks have played as the underdog in seven of their past 10 games and have gone 5-2 in those contests.
• In its last 10 games with an over/under, Arizona and its opponents have combined to eclipse the total two times.
• The Diamondbacks' previous 10 games have not had a runline set by sportsbooks.
• The Diamondbacks have won in 45, or 50%, of the 90 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• This season, Arizona has been victorious nine times in 19 chances when named as an underdog of at least +140 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Diamondbacks have a 41.7% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
• The offense for Arizona is the No. 14 offense in the majors, scoring 4.6 runs per game (746 total runs).
• Diamondbacks pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.48 ERA this year, which ranks 20th in MLB.

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