Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians Prediction 7-18-23 MLB Picks

The Cleveland Guardians and the Pittsburgh Pirates meet in MLB interleague action from PNC Park on Tuesday night. Let’s dive into the odds, starting pitching matchup, history and make a prediction for this game.

Odds

This game is lined as a coin flip with -110 odds on both sides. The total for this game is set at 8.5 runs.

Starting Pitching Matchup

Logan Allen will start for Cleveland and is 3-2 with a 3.47 ERA and 63 strikeouts this season. Mitch Keller will start for Pittsburgh and is 9-4 with a 3.31 ERA and 129 strikeouts this season. 

Matchup History

Cleveland’s 11-0 win over the Pirates on Monday was their first in this head-to-head matchup since 2021. 

Trends

Cleveland is 1-4 in their last 5 games overall and 2-5 in their last 7 road games while the over is 4-2 in their last 6 road games. Pittsburgh is 1-7 in their last 8 games overall and 0-5 in their last 5 home games while the over is 6-1 in their last 7 home games. 

Pick

It didn’t come through for me on Monday, but I’m going back to the under here. Cleveland scoring 11 runs isn’t something we see often and them stringing together solid offensive performances back-to-back is even more rare. Pittsburgh lived up to their end of the bargain on Monday and given their struggles against lefties in July, they could have issues here against Logan Allen. I think Mitch Keller keeps the Guardians in check as well, so give me the under here.